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Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Monday, December 26, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Maestria 4.00 1 2-1
8 8 Basalt Street 3.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Graceleadsushome 4.50 1.4 3-1
7 7 Funkylittleshack 6.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Shesabeautydancer 4.50 6.1 11-1
1 1 Rockett Magic 10.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 Candy’s Pride 10.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Lovelyredstilettos 8.00 8.8 17-1
2 2 Crypto Brave 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Allnight Moonlight 3.50 1 2-1
10 9 Wishert 12.00 1.9 4-1
9 8 El Deal Me Aces 8.00 2.5 5-1
11 12 F T W Slam 6.00 4.1 8-1
1 10 Parker Now 4.50 6.1 12-1
5 4 Le Monstre Rapide 8.00 8 15-1
2 1 Drewnanimous 12.00 8.2 15-1
3 2 Custom Cadillac 10.00 8.8 17-1
4 3 Aztec Gem 8.00 8.9 17-1
6 5 Iron Moon 8.00 9.2 17-1
7 6 Special Agent Jim 12.00 9.4 18-1
1A 11 Anders Smile 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Joseph E. Spanky Broussard Memorial S.) – Joseph E. Spanky Broussard Memorial S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Moon Swag 0 0-1
5 5 Charlie’s Penny 1.40 1 2-1
4 4 Lil Kings Princess 6.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Moon Swag 2.50 3 6-1
3 3 Powder River 4.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Bow Bow Girl 8.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Sugar Bowl S.) – Sugar Bowl S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Corona Bolt 0 0-1
3 3 Corona Bolt 1.60 1 2-1
5 5 Toddchero 4.50 1.4 3-1
2 2 Alto Road 8.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Distorted Pro 2.50 3.6 7-1
6 6 Late September 3.50 3.7 7-1
4 4 Machine Gun Man 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Sense You Asked 8.00 1 2-1
4 4 Rate Confirmation 8.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Woodythebidspotter 3.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Gem Collection 20.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Joint Venture 20.00 5.5 10-1
10 10 Gametime Gladiator 4.50 5.8 11-1
7 7 Oddsontony 8.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Silver Heist 4.00 8.5 16-1
2 2 Cote d’Ivoire 12.00 8.7 16-1
5 5 Hey Jackson 8.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Blushing K. D. S.) – Blushing K. D. S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Carpe Vinum 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Mo Clare’s 8.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Oliviaofthedesert 5.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Lake Lucerne 3.50 1.8 3-1
1 1 Island Hideaway (GB) 6.00 3 6-1
3 3 Wave of Goodness 8.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Quinn Ella 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 A Mo Reay 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 Single Ruler 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Notion 12.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Banishing 5.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Mobster 4.50 2.9 6-1
6 6 More Than Five 8.00 3 6-1
9 9 Dream Force 15.00 3.7 7-1
12 12 Pyrenees 5.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Amanwalksintoabar 8.00 4.9 9-1
10 10 Z Z’s Prince 12.00 6.4 12-1
11 11 Liberty’s Hauler 15.00 7.6 14-1
2 2 Bayou Chrome 30.00 8.6 16-1
7 7 Don’t Let Go 20.00 9.2 17-1
1 1 Spielman 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Letellier Memorial S.) – Letellier Memorial S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Dazzling Blue 0 0-1
4 4 Promise of Hope 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Twice as Sweet 4.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Dazzling Blue 2.50 2.4 5-1
3 3 Neutralize 6.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Flamand 12.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Miss Shipman 8.00 7 13-1
7 7 Gavinera 8.00 7.9 15-1
1 1 Condensation 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Richard R. Scherer Memorial S.) – Richard R. Scherer Memorial S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Surveillance 0 0-1
2 2 Miles Ahead 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Bango 3.50 1.6 3-1
3 3 Tulane Tryst 4.50 1.7 3-1
4 4 Heart Rhythm 6.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Surveillance 6.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Manny Wah 3.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 High Cruise 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Buddy Diliberto Memorial S.) – Buddy Diliberto Memorial S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Spooky Channel 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Captivating Moon 3.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Temper Tantrum 8.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 English Tavern 3.50 4.5 8-1
4 4 Bizzee Channel 6.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Gentle Soul 6.00 6 11-1
3 3 Big Agenda 12.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Risk Manager 10.00 7.3 14-1
10 10 Runnin’ Ray 3.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Spanish Kingdom 5.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Happy American 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Gun Runner S.) – Gun Runner S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Andthewinneris 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Old Alliance 10.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Jace’s Road 3.00 3 6-1
3 3 Determinedly 3.50 3.1 6-1
1 1 Hayes Strike 3.50 5.1 10-1
5 5 Mazing Mark 10.00 7 13-1
6 6 Raise Cain 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Untapable S.) – Untapable S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Vahva 0 0-1
7 7 All About Me 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 The Alys Look 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Pretty Mischievous 3.00 1.9 4-1
9 9 Hayunevano 10.00 3 6-1
8 8 Just Like Magic 15.00 3 6-1
2 2 Two Minute Drill 8.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Cotton Candy Annie 15.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Vahva 3.50 4.5 8-1
3 3 Hang the Moon 15.00 5.6 11-1
10 10 Miss Shipman 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 13 (Tenacious S.) – Tenacious S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Forza Di Oro 3.50 1 2-1
13 13 Mr. Wireless 6.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Intrepid Heart 4.50 4.5 9-1
10 10 Five Star General 20.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Farmington Road 8.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Chess Chief 10.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Spa City 15.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 Happy American 6.00 6.7 13-1
12 12 Rightandjust 20.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 Beaver Hat 30.00 8.9 17-1
1 1 Business Model 15.00 9.4 18-1
6 6 Captivating Moon 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Gentle Soul 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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