Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Sugar Baby | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Maarty’s Dilemma | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Milwaukee Bay | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Coralena | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Misquillo | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jackie B Good | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pop the Clutch | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cinnamon Dream | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Large | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Panadero | 10.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spartak | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Thrills and Chills | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Just a Thought | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | D Black Mamba | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | He’ssosubtle | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Instant Chaos | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Niangua | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Show Some Skin | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wicked Jane | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blue Shine | 12.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shirley Greene | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Quasar | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Isabella Smile | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fed Policy | 3.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Let’s Celebrate | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Risen Change | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Arlyne’s Crown | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Yellow Dress | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Rose Legacy | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Princess Emma Jo | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cash On First | 5.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Another Saucy Six | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Touring Maryanne | 4.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Nana’s Boopa | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bella Maria | 8.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Colette’s Spirit | 15.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | La Altenita | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hometown Hero | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Boom Boom Kaboom | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Iconic Legacy | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dangnabbit | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tempestuous | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Horse Be With You | 4.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Tuttle | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | I Saw It All | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cape Hedge | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Abidale | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Charlotte Webley | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Shez a Doubletake | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Musamaha | 4.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Without a View | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Iova | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Diane’s Comet | 4.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wendy’s Fine Wine | 5.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tiz Her Way | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Thegoddessofsnakes | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Imperial Moon | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Prospera | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Live Aid | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Baci | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hightime Valentine | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | One Wild Woman | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tilsa | 5.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Just Stay Home | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Pearls and Heels | 5.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Broad Jumper | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Blitzen S.) – Blitzen S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Beren | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | No Cents | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Smooth B | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Repo Rocks | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Marvalous Mike | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kadri | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Twisted Ride | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Going to the Lead | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Five Dreams | 6.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wendell Fong | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Mrs. Claus S.) – Mrs. Claus S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bourbon Bon Bay | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Kentucky Girl | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Buy the Best | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Centre Court Champ | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Willemina | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Moma Tiger | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Deco Strong | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Empire House | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Thistlefield | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Trolley Ride | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ninetypercentbrynn | 6.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Missy Greer | 5.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Kris Kringle S.) – Kris Kringle S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | American Patrol | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Far Mo Power | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ridin With Biden | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Double Crown | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Monday Morning Qb | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ournationonparade | 4.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tough Tickets | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Ruby Bleu | 10.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Amatteroftime | 12.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Forewarned | 15.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | New Commission | 15.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wait for It | 20.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Expensive Cut | 12.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Wish for Peace | 20.00 | 13.5 | 26-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Eloquist | 8.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Panster | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Strong Breeze | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Somebody | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tomater Gator | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Youshouldbesolucky | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Healy’s Hope | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fire’s Finale | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Seat of Honor | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tactical Plan | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Weekend in Court | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Orbert | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Cape May Style | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.