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Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, December 29, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 It Takes Heart 1.60 1 2-1
4 4 Gracie Diamond 4.50 2.2 4-1
5 5 Kiss Me On Oconee 3.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Grand Expectations 12.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Raise the Praise 8.00 4 8-1
3 3 Womanonthewarpath 6.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Graeme’s Deal 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Tensas Virginia 4.50 1 2-1
1 1 Joanie Gal 2.50 2.9 5-1
3 3 Summertime Bandit 6.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Mollys Flyin High 20.00 5 9-1
9 9 Custom Guitar 5.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Girl in Black 10.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 I’m All Mixed Up 12.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Cold as You 10.00 7.6 14-1
6 6 Stop the Friend 20.00 8.2 15-1
4 4 Myfriendsawinner 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Saberfight 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Ashley’s Girl 5.00 1.1 2-1
2 2 Lucky Deal 2.50 2.1 4-1
7 7 Galaxy Affair 5.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Zong Wave 6.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Bailey’s Charm 3.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Miss Yellow Meadow 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Flashy Premo 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Speedy G 5.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Escrow Style 2.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Smoking Gun 4.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Synthetic Joe 12.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Target Practice 3.50 5.2 10-1
6 6 Cleric 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Vancouver Snow 8.00 1 2-1
8 9 Sugar Star 4.00 1.3 3-1
9 10 Tale of Tensas 10.00 2.7 5-1
7 6 T R’s First 12.00 3.2 6-1
2 1 Tap Your Front 5.00 5 9-1
6 5 Miss Wow Wow 15.00 5.3 10-1
1 7 Star Fashion 2.50 5.4 10-1
4 3 Table One 3.50 6.1 12-1
5 4 I Love You More 15.00 7.4 14-1
1A 8 Start Well 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Mischievous Diane 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Flashy Meg 4.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 La Tress Gray 8.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Shelley’s Money 3.50 5.1 10-1
1 1 Jackies Irishdream 5.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Roll Baby 8.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Miss Jamie 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Wicked Rose 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Monarch’s Mischief 4.50 1.5 3-1
5 5 Fiesty Fist 1.80 3 6-1
3 3 Aztar 6.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Cameo Dancer 10.00 5 10-1
7 7 Donnie Boy 8.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Iron in the Fire 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Rosewater S.) – Rosewater S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Final Quest 5.00 1 2-1
8 8 Spirited Beauty 2.50 2.4 4-1
1 1 Lutie Mo 8.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Eileen Alexandra 6.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 Mishpachah 4.00 7.8 15-1
3 3 Unified Love 10.00 8 15-1
9 9 Miss Charlie Sioux 12.00 8.1 15-1
2 2 Courtly Doc 10.00 8.9 17-1
7 7 Our Little Girl 8.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Moro Outlaw 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 The Five B’s 3.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 Talk to Tokey 4.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Country Cat Jake 10.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Flashy Boy Goes 4.50 4 7-1
8 8 Always Logan 12.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Call Me Firey 20.00 7 13-1
3 3 Roll On Out 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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