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Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, December 29, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Isn’t It Time 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Mrs. Necaise 4.50 4.2 8-1
1 1 Hot Patootie 4.50 5.2 10-1
8 8 Call Me Darlin 8.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Beanie 8.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Sheeza Priority 5.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Good Girl Shorty 8.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Anslie’s Gumdrop 6.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 High Tone 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Courageous Timmy 2.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Crafty Heat 10.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Blushinstreetdevil 3.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Autocratic 10.00 6.6 13-1
4 4 Sixto 12.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Semi Charmed Life 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Glitter Time 4.50 1 2-1
2 2 Silk Shaker 6.00 2 4-1
7 7 Peaceful Vision 3.50 2.5 5-1
5 5 Commercial Flash 3.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 For Real Alice 4.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Kasen’s Sister 10.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Younmehoneybunny 6.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Bigjim’s Silvergal 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Candy’s Parade 4.50 1 2-1
6 6 Magical Stardust 5.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Total Discretion 5.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Caviar Resolution 6.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Meg and Clair 12.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Track Queen 10.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Honorary Guest 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 More Romance 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 7 Direct Order 4.00 1 2-1
4 3 Soul Coaxing 3.50 1.1 2-1
2 1 Mischief’s Machine 3.00 1.3 2-1
1 6 Palatial Times 4.00 1.4 3-1
6 5 Vim and Vigor 3.50 1.5 3-1
3 2 Special Pryce 8.00 4.6 9-1
5 4 Awe Shackle 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 12 Michelles Lil Star 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Pray for Us 10.00 5.3 10-1
3 2 Olivia G 4.00 5.6 11-1
10 11 Mia Antonia 12.00 6.8 13-1
5 4 Muchmorethanready 8.00 7.1 13-1
1 5 Rosie Sprit 12.00 9.8 18-1
1A 7 Re Re’s Rainbow 12.00 10.1 19-1
8 9 Midnight Flame 8.00 10.9 21-1
4 3 Twirling Cat 12.00 11.3 21-1
2 1 Cangua 12.00 11.3 21-1
9 10 Calling 5.00 11.5 22-1
7 8 Berniece 10.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Spartan Army 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Underhill’s Tab 3.50 1.4 3-1
3 3 Twirling Roses 6.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Concept 4.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Oncoming Train 12.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Pro Oxidant 3.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Charlie’s Creed 3.50 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Charlie’s Peak 10.00 1 2-1
7 7 Enduring Peace 4.50 1.5 3-1
1 1 New Year’s Party 6.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Halfglamorous 8.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Theboyzgalaxy 3.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Point of Victory 3.50 4.2 8-1
3 3 Moment to Dream 10.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Kick N Kiss 8.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Sassy Mallory 20.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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