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Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, December 29, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Cami Rachelle 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Five Star Fran 4.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Jimmydabook 10.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Dunder Boss 3.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Golden Blossom 12.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Hella Ella 10.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Super Jo Jo 20.00 4.6 9-1
10 10 Let’s Make a Zeen 15.00 6 11-1
8 8 Susanas Luckycharm 30.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Best Worst Idea 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Backatya 1.60 1 2-1
1 1 Etched in Stone 3.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Amicalola Falls 20.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Bowie Two Step 4.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 Forth 10.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Spritzer 10.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Addy’s Laddy T N T 10.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Brion 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Lookin Spunky 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Good Story 4.50 2.3 4-1
10 10 Tipsy Tourist 8.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Coffee Bean 15.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Performanceanxiety 6.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Mashua 3.00 4 8-1
5 5 Unbridled Irish 15.00 5 9-1
12 12 Serious Moment 20.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Police Woman 15.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 C Two 20.00 6 11-1
11 11 Bizzy Bizzy 20.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 I Have Courage 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Little Bit of That 12.00 1 2-1
3 3 Fortunata Italia 10.00 3.8 7-1
12 12 Meraviglioso 4.50 4 8-1
4 4 Shinelikeadiamond 6.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Miss Casey 8.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Tam Char 6.00 6.6 13-1
1 1 Illusion of Hope 8.00 7.5 14-1
7 7 Notion Interruptus 20.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 Honor Your Mother 8.00 7.7 14-1
5 5 Salamina 15.00 9.8 18-1
2 2 Please Marry Me 20.00 10.2 19-1
14 14 Mebs Web 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Dial Emma Reilly 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Lambeau Lady 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Senson 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Stronger Than Dex 6.00 1 2-1
11 11 Superstitieux 10.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Sunday Mischief 15.00 3 6-1
10 10 Mosler Safe 5.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Winston’s Gold 3.50 3.5 7-1
5 5 Crimson Rocket 3.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Centavo 30.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Dejohn 15.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 Thruster 20.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Never Silenced 20.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Born for Victory 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Jackson’s Dixie 0 0-1
6 6 Me Darlin Kathleen 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 Exclusive Rose 15.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Waverley 8.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Babka 3.50 3.7 7-1
7 7 Sister Spirit 6.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Bali Hai 6.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Happy Time 4.00 6.3 12-1
10 10 Wild n’ Sassy 15.00 8.7 17-1
2 2 Carmel Sunrise 10.00 9.5 18-1
9 9 Jackson’s Dixie 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Hellman 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Frenchboro 12.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 God Is Love 12.00 1.5 3-1
8 8 Federal Offense 5.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 Baltimore Bulleit 15.00 4 7-1
2 2 The Last Scip 12.00 4 8-1
5 5 Auspicious Lad 6.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Bode Lynx 12.00 5.4 10-1
10 10 Pharaoh’s Triumph 2.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Votethemallout 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Proper Attire 10.00 1 2-1
4 4 Canadian Ginger 10.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Awesome View 8.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 My Boss Lady 8.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Behind the Couch 4.50 4.3 8-1
1 1 Little Ms Scarlet 4.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Madera 20.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Mrs. Del 20.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Escape Fund 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Pursuing Pace 1.60 1 2-1
8 8 Codigo 15.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Uncommon Valor 4.50 2.3 4-1
4 4 Give It a Go 12.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Cash Kid 10.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Only Child 3.50 4.4 8-1
2 2 So There 12.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 I’m Not Slow 15.00 6 11-1
9 9 Neverfold 20.00 9.2 17-1
7 7 Manklin Creek 15.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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