Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Vax | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Marley’s Ghost | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cairo Sugar | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | K D Kakes | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Graceful Rose | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hypnocurrency | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I’mhavingamoment | 3.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ultimate Edition | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Northern Ballet | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mia Bea Star | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shadolamo | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tough Street | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gringotts | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Steal My Heart | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Juliana’s Rose | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Duckphat | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Focus | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Provision | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Who Me | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sounds Spooky | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Empire Ride | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | October Bliss | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | West Star | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fast Study | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | P Money | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Chateau | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sheriff Bianco | 1.80 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | In Dreams | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | More Graytful | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | War Stopper | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pirate Rick | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Outlaw Kid | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Alogon | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ice Princess | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Frost Point | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tic Tic Tic Boom | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Timeless Journey | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Baby Man | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Its Cold in Dehere | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Missy Greer | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Toned Up | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Spooky Road | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Happy Farm | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nova Rags | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hero Tiger | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Engine | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Going to the Lead | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Final Shot | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Coppola | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Scilly Cay | 5.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Meraas (GB) | 4.50 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Gravesend S.) – Gravesend S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Drafted | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Morello | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Three Two Zone | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Little Vic | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bezos | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Greeley and Ben | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Smooth B | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Synthesis | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Amundson | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Repo Rocks | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Beren | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Twisted Ride | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Amity Island | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1A | 12 | Raffinity | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Masabeeh | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Jerusalema | 20.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Infringement | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | She’s Got Game | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sealithic | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Alicia’s Way | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Stormi Cat Lady | 4.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Bells On Her Toes | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Poncho Song | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Carly Hustle | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.