Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Juju Nineteen | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blue Ridge Red | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | K T’s Jilted Groom | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Demon Hunter | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Anyotherquestions | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Magnolia Ridge | 4.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sneaky Allie Kat | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Drewsilla | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Classical Magnolia | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Starship Nola | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pickin Ana Grinnin | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I’d Be Rich | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Queen of the Moon | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sangiovese | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Plemmonston | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blurt | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Da Gold Room | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Crusader | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Okudah | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Max Pandowdy | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | C C’s Cowgirl | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bartulia | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jeeper | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Maasai Warrior | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Action Seeker | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ice Axe | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Big Boo | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Check Me Out | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Unlimited | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Infinitesimal | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lil Woadie | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Field of Vision | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Risktaker | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ondatrackpimpernel | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 6 | Half Koo Koo | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 3 | Beleout | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Speedy Dudette | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 7 | First I’ve Seen | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 4 | Wholelottamo | 3.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 5 | Ours and Theirs | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Sienna Breeze | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Akiane’s Soldier | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 1A | 2 | Gator Proud | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 8 | Mercy Warren | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Champagne Affair | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Braganza | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Dance It | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Cave Creek | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Rubiana | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Distinctive | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | A Girl Like Me | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Shaniah | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Nosy Banker | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bitsy’s Custom C | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | C’Mon Ve | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 7 | Guitar Tribute | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Perfect Perigee | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Knockalittlelouder | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Donna’s Court | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Adieu Le Chat | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Charli Michael | 4.50 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Gallant Star | 30.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Zong Tough | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 1A | 13 | Gracida | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Mr. Production | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.