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Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, January 5, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Tapizars Secret 4.00 1 2-1
6 7 Smooth Colliery 5.00 1.4 3-1
5 6 King of the Court 4.50 2.8 5-1
4 5 Hulen 8.00 3.5 7-1
7 8 Galaxy Builder 8.00 3.6 7-1
3 2 B W P Special 6.00 4.4 8-1
1A 4 Whenthedovescry 1.80 SCRATCH
1 3 Bibleman 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 King Marvin 4.50 1 2-1
8 8 Grand Priority 3.50 1.6 3-1
6 6 Shanghai Ronnie 10.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 High Ridge 8.00 3.4 6-1
10 10 Draft Choice 3.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Sweet Rachel 8.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Rock On Cowboy 20.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Customize My Quest 12.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Fluffpoint 8.00 5.6 11-1
11 11 Sournois 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Andiamo Giacomo 5.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Cajun Up 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 War Saber 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Steauxlit 3.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Empire Kid 10.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Creekside 6.00 6.6 13-1
4 4 Suit of Wands 4.50 7 13-1
2 2 One More Sleep 6.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 El It 5.00 7.5 14-1
5 5 Dixieland Storming 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Marketbook 10.00 1 2-1
8 8 Crooks Rebel 2.50 1.8 3-1
6 6 Confess 4.50 2.2 4-1
5 5 Captains Cove 6.00 2.8 5-1
10 10 Sassi Aspen 6.00 3 6-1
2 2 Michael’s Bad Boy 20.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Double Bogey 12.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Mr Liberty 5.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Clever Prince 10.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Barney’s Passion 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Run On Aces 2.00 1 2-1
3 2 Prince Perfecta 3.00 1.7 3-1
1A 8 Double On the Red 3.50 1.7 3-1
2 1 Iron N Steel 8.00 2.7 5-1
5 4 King of Contraband 6.00 3.1 6-1
1 6 Cash Holiday 3.50 3.9 7-1
6 5 Love Ours 8.00 5.7 11-1
4 3 Lamont 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Dancin With Angels 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 Matts Fire N Ice 3.50 1.1 2-1
1 1 Carry Thy Cross 6.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Rush the Colors 2.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Grunt 8.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Royal Consort 6.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Bryken N Mitchell 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Creekmore 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 Lovethatcause 3.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Platinum Equity 6.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Parlay Pete 4.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 Flashing Angelbaby 4.50 5.6 11-1
2 2 Hardcore Folklore 6.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Hot Le Roy 8.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Bet Again 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Cheerfor Mshawish 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Holiday Diamond 3.50 1.6 3-1
4 4 Custom Blue Grass 5.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Josan 10.00 4 8-1
2 2 Cabochon Treasure 4.50 4 8-1
8 8 Heza Sexy Zong 8.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Thundertakesdalead 12.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Salute Now 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Our Clover Gal 6.00 1 2-1
9 9 Baltimore Babe 4.00 5 10-1
5 5 Lot’sa Silver 10.00 6 11-1
6 6 Chatain’s Eagle 8.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 A. P. Style 8.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 Atlantic Band 12.00 7.9 15-1
8 8 Tenpins Tempest 6.00 8.3 16-1
3 3 Ellie’s Touch 15.00 8.6 16-1
2 2 Prime Choice 20.00 9.8 19-1
11 11 Sloopy Hang On 5.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Dats a Superstar 2.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Roadside Girl 3.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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