Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Resposado | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | The Missing Piece | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Enough Heart | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bet On Bourbon | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Beautifulandwild | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Allstar Magic | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Eyeseemoney | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Spectacular Izzy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Dream Streak | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shaniah | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ma Cherie | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Joan’s Way | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Beauty | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss G G | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Entitlement | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pursuit l’Harmonie | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Visionista | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kyle Beauty | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Beulah K | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dat Guitar | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Yockey Betterfly | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kennesaw | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 4 | 4 | Summer Splash | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tango Charlie | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kennesaw | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lightning Struck | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sierra Hotel | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Alebrije | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Mishko | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sermononthemount | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Counter Offer | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tio Blas | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | The Gray Blur | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Woman With a Book | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Overthought | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | East Lex | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Color Fast | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 8 | Gravy Hound | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 4 | Scarlettsblackjack | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1A | 2 | Binding Agreement | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 5 | Hooray Austin | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 3 | G’wildcat | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Palace | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Bootsie’s Galaxy | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Mister Don | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sir | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dual Monarchy | 4.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Meant to Be Lucky | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gem Collection | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Willakenzie | 3.50 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ice Time | 10.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fortune | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Gordy’s Label | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Fujin | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Myredwhiteandblue | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Hunter’s Drive | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Sam Stormy | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Desert Duke | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Cafe Racer | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Foe | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Deccan Prince (IRE) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tambourine Star | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Duvee | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Runninginthemoney | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bouldering | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sunday Breeze | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Scoring Drive | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jays Holiday | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Couyons Cause | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Commander Scott | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.