Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mo Than Luck | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Paxsational | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ee Yah | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Uncorrelated | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Register | 8.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Whenlovetakesover | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Amanda’s Folly | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Joey the Fish | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jessica’s Race | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Barb | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Darknstormy | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Maize Loved Laffy | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Deniece of Degrace | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Betting On a Stone | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maggie T | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Bella Michelle | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Luna Loca | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Our Rosie Diamonds | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Maggie T | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Magic Miss | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Honest Banker | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Curlins Choir | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Lifetime of Chance | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bourbon Chase | 1.40 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wanna Winna | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mama Banned Me | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Quick Chaos | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wynn Giant | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | In My Shadow | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Vallarand | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | She Caught My Eye | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Chamita | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Purrfect Mistress | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Infringement | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pave My Way | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gagliano | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Villareggia | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 7 | Max Foster | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | East Coast Girl | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Chasin’ You | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Zuccarace | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Baron’s Legacy | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Derricks Medallion | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bobbo’s Boy | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Eternal Glory | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Tater and Tot | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Advanced Strategy | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Baldizar | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wild Banker | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Full Moon Fever | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Six Percent | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Durkin’s Call | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sundaeswithsandy | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bourbon Bay | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Therisastormbrewin | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Carbon | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cinderella’s Cause | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kant Hurry Love | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tempermental | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Royal Currency | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Captivating Cara | 30.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Keen Dancer | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Big Bean Christine | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fancy Feline | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Outlier | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bourbon Calling | 12.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Senior Investment | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Uncle Moonlight | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Winit | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Curlin’s Wisdom | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Manor House | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | I Am the Law | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lost in Rome | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | No Burn | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.