Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ide Like Hawaii | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Callen Feels Good | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Monitor Mills | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Double Priority | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mischevious Robert | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Toocan Dance | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Joey’s Lightening | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mexican Wonder Boy | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Military Bearing | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dust Em | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Seau | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Quarky | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Party of Fifteen | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Half Page | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Olivian | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Aden’s Ransom | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Vallejo | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Atomic Rose | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Alexaplayborntorun | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Redefinition | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Louis Le Grande | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Vegas Guy | 15.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | J C’s in Town | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Indefensible | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Nasty Exaggerator | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | G’s Storm | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Heather’s Request | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Boss Man | 4.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Thirtyeightcaliber | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 8 | Here Comes Lovie | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Start Well | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ann’s Storm | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Julio Choice | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mylies Star | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | She’s Takin Over | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1A | 7 | Katie’s C | 4.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Overly Sweet | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Roaring Quinn | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Boston Belle | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Moody Rafaela | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | In for a Penny | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gold Chain | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fort Pike | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Livvy Lou | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | La La Latte | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Yes I’m a Lady | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Muffin Nuts | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Paralissfrmanalyss | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spheroid | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Joeboy | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Optimistic | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Liam Skye | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Traelee | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Orleans S.) – Orleans S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sassy Beast | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ima Discreet Lady | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kela’s Turn | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Destiny | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Temperament | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bossy Mama | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tipsy Gal | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | My Friend Amy | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Non Binding | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Just a Win | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Arrogant Girl | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sadie’s Ransom | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Aggie Doctor | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Daring Darian | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mo Dixie Diva | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Apriority Magic | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.
