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Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Friday, January 6, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Steal It Back 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Herewecometogetyou 3.50 1.6 3-1
3 3 Inthealy 2.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Arctic Rose 4.50 3.3 6-1
4 4 Argybargy Buck 4.50 3.8 7-1
2 2 Datswhatilike 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Lady Ave 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Zydeco Music 1.80 4.1 8-1
1 1 Galaxy Thirtysix 4.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Ourperfectprincess 6.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Forbidden Fruit 8.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Seriously Sassy 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Bernie Special 6.00 1 2-1
8 8 Stealing Apriority 3.00 2 4-1
4 4 Heartthrob Halo 5.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Half a Doodle 8.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Rock Star Alex 8.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Chiefweave 2.50 6.5 12-1
1 1 Gem of Carlos 12.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 War Trolley 6.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Avendore 1.60 1 2-1
2 2 La Chapeau 12.00 2 4-1
5 5 Jackie Flash 2.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Plants and Birds 4.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Miss Tonalist 8.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Jig Time Bandit 20.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Baby Your Perfect 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Keys Included 6.00 1 2-1
7 7 Ronithelimodriver 3.00 1.4 3-1
8 8 Ogre’s Lion King 8.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Costello’s Kitten 8.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Stockpiler 2.50 5.1 10-1
1 1 Mosh Pit 5.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Exclaim 6.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Masquerade Ball 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Big Beemster 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Special Operator 3.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Top Note 3.50 4.7 9-1
2 2 Gallant Buck 6.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Bello Creedo 3.50 5.7 11-1
5 5 Back Beat 4.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Deccan Prince (IRE) 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Desert Duke 5.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Fujin 3.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Myredwhiteandblue 4.00 3.8 7-1
10 10 Simply Wow 8.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Cafe Racer 6.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Foe 12.00 8.2 15-1
2 2 Gordy’s Label 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Hunter’s Drive 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Wolf Hunter 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Quinn Murphy 4.50 1 2-1
3 3 Queen’s Mission 8.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Fashion Merit 5.00 2 4-1
5 5 Glance 12.00 2 4-1
4 4 Romantic Beast 3.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Izeonpoint 4.50 3.3 6-1
1 1 Suffragette 6.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Roya 4.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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