Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Its Over | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Baltimore Bulleit | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pudge Boy Palace | 1.80 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | God Is Love | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wonder Water | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Notion to Tapit | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Runyonesque | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spiritual Ghost | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Shoot Themessenger | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Free Square | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Camp Pendleton | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Other Things Equal | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tommy Shelby | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Off the Meds | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Antipoison | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miracle Silver | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Albertano | 4.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Captain Creed | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Collect Redemption | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Termsofengagement | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Quick Quick Whit | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Orocovix | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | General Nooz | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Code of Kings | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Margie’s Fun Son | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Unidentified Man | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Triple Jeopardy | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Minecrafter | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mamaigotthis | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Baptize the Boy | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ekati’s Verve | 2.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Excalibur | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | My Boss Lady | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fortes | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Eifs | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Congress Hall | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Had the Notion | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dulce Kiara | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Utterly Enchanting | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lightfoot Miss | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Notion Interruptus | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sheknowsthedrill | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Macho | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Nostalgic Run | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Oro de Moro Moro | 20.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tate | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Magic Mule | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Jardani | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gallant Gold | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Elusive Agent | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Sea Ghost | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Icy Minister | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Frightland | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Shaft’s Bullet | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Patriotic Party | 15.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 1A | 14 | Shofar | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Fole’s Notion | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Honor the Fleet | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Paradise Pride | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | No More Talk | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Oxide | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Our Hoisted Mast | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Erawan | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Mystic Link | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Closer Look | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bomboloni | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 7 | 7 | Bomboloni | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rock the Boat | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Zen Master | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Supreme Law | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gerrys Gem | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Monster Mason | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tauber | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Cant Stop This Man | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Miss Fussy Pants | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dropkick Queen | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cocktail Dreaming | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ice Cube Baby | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Never Done | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Galactic Tide | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Golden Neve | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Alas and Alack | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Happy Clouds | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.