Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Winter Pool | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Icy Storm | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Supply Chain | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Goldini | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kumar | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Scotty | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Forever Wicked | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scaramanga | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 9 | 9 | Bingood to Knowya | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bustino Santino | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Disarmed | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tater and Tot | 10.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Scaramanga | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | American Grant | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Please Be Nice | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Russi | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brad’s Bet | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Radio Red | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Seanan | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Charger | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jonny Quist | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Blu Grotto | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Will E Sutton | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Holey Matrimony | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Skylander | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fenway | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bold Journey | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Scilly Cay | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Phantom Smoke | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Foolish Ghost | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Winners Laugh | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Victory Built | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Today’s Flavor | 1.20 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Brew Pub | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Colloquy | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Complete Agenda | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fromanothamutha | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Swift Tap | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Russian to Win | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Afjan | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Doctor Love | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Achilles Heel | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Union Lights | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Spelterini | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Risk Free | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Senior Prank | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Balentina | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tryinmyheartout | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fabulously Funny | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Machiavellique | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Graceful | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bounty Killah | 50.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| War Stopper | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1A | 6 | Perceived | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Musical Heart | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | War Stopper | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 12 | Pit Boss | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 11 | Hammerin Aamer | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Grumps Little Tots | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Night Ops | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Runabout | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Microscope | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | It’s Mandatory | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dark Storm | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 13 | Dust Devil | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Uno | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Jerome S.) – Jerome S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arctic Arrogance | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 6 | 6 | Arctic Arrogance | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Neural Network | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Andiamo a Firenze | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lugan Knight | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | General Banker | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Valenzan Day | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Narciso Dali | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Circling the Drain | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Queens County S.) – Queens County S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Law Professor | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sea Foam | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shooger Ray Too | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Thomas Shelby | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Double Crown | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Naval Aviator | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bourbonic | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Plot the Dots | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Forewarned | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Unbridled Bomber | 3.50 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Eloquist | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Dame Cinco | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Funny How | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Yo Cuz | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Glory | 50.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | I’m Buzzy | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Captainsdaughter | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Caironi | 10.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Firing Carol | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chasing Cara | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Western Lane | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Hot Fudge | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Desert Dalliance | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.