Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Louisiana Liberty | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Addi Bug | 1.60 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Taken It | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Alpine Mist | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Where’s Aunt J | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Decorated Lady | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 7 | Kind Ways | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Chrome Savage | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Anna Clause | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Beyond d’Oro | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Lacis Jewel | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1A | 6 | Aphrodites Revenge | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 5 | Lucky Linda | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Muletrain | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dark Matter | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | K V Target | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | He’s a Classic | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chelsea’s Glory | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Count On Rain | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | D’festive Cat | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kings Wager | 10.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fighting Soldier | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Angola Vacation | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 5 | Gentrified | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1A | 4 | Akhnas | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Bourbon St Tappin | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Outlaw X. | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Tough Company | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Pinch Assault | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Come What Mae | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fuhr Meo | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | T R’s First | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stop Shop N Drop | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Miracle Girl | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cajun Aces | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Satisfy U | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Half Brother | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | In Detail | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Uxmal | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | K R Power Storm | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miracle Warrior | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Triple Red Aces | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Wise Guy | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 6 | Freedomfi | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2B | 3 | Binding | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 7 | Oak Hill Lg | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 4 | Hostile Afleet | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1A | 5 | Tensas Toddy | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 8 | Temprano | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Aligned Interest | 3.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Sam’s Town S.) – Sam’s Town S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Empire of Gold | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Simply Wicked | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Super Ocho (CHI) | 1.20 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Prizeless | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Scrappy Artie | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Baseball Lover | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hyperbolist | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pickens | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Midnight Fire | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Serengeti Six | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Umatilla | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pennie’s Magic | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Why Kenzly | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | California Cali | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Piece of Me | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | It’s Time Baby | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shotgun Annie | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tolatetoowait | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Moro Dandy | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.