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Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, January 7, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Flowers for Lisa 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Promising Shoes 3.50 3.4 6-1
4 4 Make Noise 2.50 4.5 9-1
1 1 Higher Authority 12.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Gold Buckle 6.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Rye Humor 8.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Lookin High 12.00 7.1 13-1
2 2 Sonic City 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Arthurian 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 With Verve 10.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 News Box 3.00 2.1 4-1
9 9 Coal Truth 4.00 2.7 5-1
11 11 Wipe the Slate 30.00 3 6-1
5 5 Backdoorparty 30.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Grapnel 8.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Grazen in the Park 20.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Bend in the River 20.00 7.8 15-1
10 10 El Tigre Terrible 4.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Atras 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Mamzooj 0 0-1
8 8 Andy Cant 0.80 1 2-1
6 6 Jedrek 3.50 2.5 5-1
7 7 Unstable Prince 20.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Mamzooj 12.00 3 6-1
5 5 Atlantic Dancer 4.50 3.9 7-1
4 4 Order of Merit 30.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Patrolman 15.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Onthestage 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Lady Shaman 4.00 1 2-1
11 11 Legendary Gift 15.00 1.1 2-1
9 9 Catechism 3.50 1.6 3-1
7 7 Lil Miss Hot Mess 3.00 SCRATCH
8 8 C C the Bartender 12.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Becky’s Tattoo 12.00 3.5 7-1
10 10 Put a Bow On It 6.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Dorita’s Heart 15.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Nostalgia 10.00 7.4 14-1
12 12 Caged Bear 30.00 8.6 16-1
2 2 Briar Thicket 30.00 9 17-1
6 6 Have I Ever 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Thorn Crown 8.00 1 2-1
5 5 Unified Gurl 10.00 1.5 3-1
9 9 Fly Condor 20.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Tribal Spirit 5.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Twirling Tigress 12.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Super Spirit 3.00 8.2 15-1
10 10 True Emotion 10.00 9.2 17-1
11 11 Wreaking Havoc 10.00 9.5 18-1
12 12 Scat Logic 10.00 10.2 19-1
4 4 Fancy Hill 20.00 10.4 20-1
2 2 Lovely Joyce 30.00 10.4 20-1
3 3 Andrea Beach 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Ten Gauge 8.00 1 2-1
6 6 Ben Diesel 4.00 1.9 3-1
1 1 Speed Bias 12.00 2.1 4-1
9 9 Jolly Tommy 10.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Bellamys Roan 20.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 B Sudd 4.50 3.5 7-1
3 3 Brooklyn Diamonds 12.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Cawkab 2.00 4 8-1
2 2 Efficiency 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Rolling Fork 0 0-1
5 5 Cost Basis 8.00 1 2-1
8 8 Burninhunkoflove 20.00 2 4-1
3 3 Upstriker 4.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Mojo Man 12.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Mean Jakey 20.00 3.2 6-1
11 11 Whooping Jay 2.50 3.7 7-1
10 10 Iberville 2.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Rolling Fork 30.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Belfast Boy 10.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Shackleford Strong 20.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 R Doc 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Captain Bombastic 12.00 1 2-1
3 3 Keystone Field 2.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Tiz Rye Time 10.00 2.4 4-1
5 5 Open Road 1.60 3.6 7-1
4 4 Great Escape 4.50 5.2 10-1
8 8 Silver Dust 20.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Calibrate 20.00 7.3 14-1
9 9 Bye Bye Bobby 15.00 8.4 16-1
6 6 Spankster 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Pippin S.) – Pippin S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Le Da Vida (CHI) 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Lovely Ride 3.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Coach 3.50 2.4 4-1
5 5 Ice Orchid 12.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Misty Veil 15.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Graysonsmacho Gal 15.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Will’s Secret 10.00 5 9-1
4 4 Family Time 20.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Traverse 8.00 7.3 14-1
10 10 Forever Dreaming 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Dancin N Thepulpit 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Miracle Shoes 8.00 1.1 2-1
10 10 Indian Irish 1.60 3 6-1
1 1 Hamazing Debate 20.00 3 6-1
8 8 Fortibug 15.00 5.1 10-1
12 12 Calypso Street 20.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 Fly Like the Wind 10.00 10.7 20-1
4 4 Tiz a Strategy 30.00 11.1 21-1
9 9 Dixie Girl To 15.00 12 23-1
3 3 Princess Hadley 15.00 12 23-1
5 5 Bonnie Lass 15.00 12 23-1
2 2 Kokomo Starlet 10.00 12.2 23-1
13 13 Courageous Cappen 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Coromandel 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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