Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Fire King | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Connect the Brocks | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Two Chuckles | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Laurel Valley | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Somama Beach | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Campbelito | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hang Tight | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Moonshiningbright | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kong Loves a Fight | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mailman’s a Flyer | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Strong Light | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Open Til Midnight | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Our Son Jake | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Makart | 4.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tyrannosaurus Rex | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Brennan’s War | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Devil’s Edge | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Silver Samurai | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Baba | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blue Paynt | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hydra | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Customerexperience | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Diva Banker | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Saratoga Beauty | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Game Theory | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Magical Ways | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Vodka Mardini | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | American Law | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Norgay | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Improper | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pricing Power | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ribot’s Valentine | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Spin a Yarn | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Happy Sophia | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Vallelujah | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Caramocha | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Patria | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ruvies in Time | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warriors Revenge | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 2 | 2 | Zircon | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Warriors Revenge | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Writer’s Regret | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Uno | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Daufuskie Island | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Safalow’s Mission | 2.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dee Bo | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Say Florida Sandy S.) – Say Florida Sandy S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Wudda U Think Now | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Boy Tate | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bankit | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Market Alert | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Reggae Music Man | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Cheeky Tico | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Papi On Ice | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Downtown Connector | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Golden Purchase | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dads Good Runner | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Naked and Famous | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sharpoon | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Super Quality | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.