Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Shadow Chaser | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Blackwater Falls | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Union Reward | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Classic Union | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Run for Karl | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ecliptical David | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Shiftinggears | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Pliantlea | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shez a Doubletake | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wendy’s Fine Wine | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Misquillo | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Diane’s Comet | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tiz Her Way | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fall Campaign | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Creme Caramel | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Elusive Ryder | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Boom Boom Girl | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Not a Trace | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Abhaile | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Brexit | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Creedibility | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Glowing Star | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Angel Raphael | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Meet the Elite | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Don’t Blame Freddy | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Freddyness | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chelonian | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Long Legged Boy | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tiempo Perfecto | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shouldhavebeengone | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amigos Guitar | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 3 | 3 | Crafty Don | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Amigos Guitar | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mischievous Juan | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dangnabbit | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | I Saw It All | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Boom Boom Kaboom | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mr. Tuttle | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Panadero | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Frank N Ducky | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Dohko | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Dougie | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Vero Sun | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Go for the Kill | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ughrouda | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Intro | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Island Belle | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Me So Lucky | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Harley Girl | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Golden Sting | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manolete | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| Honor Your Wager | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 2 | 2 | Nick the Cardshark | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Long Term Thinking | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Manolete | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Silver Fury | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | King’s House | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ahsad | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Empire’s Score | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rockin Cowboy | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Manahawkin | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Get the W | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Military Hop | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Puttheglassdown | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | He’s Incredible | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Genghis | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bailey | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Big Bluff | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cumberland Avenue | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mach Trial | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Portal One | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Berks | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fox Red | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | In Sky We Trust | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Fielder | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | First Navy Admiral | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Geebert | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shanghai Superfly | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Tommy the Torch | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Cant Stop This Man | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jw’strickymischief | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chain Reaction | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Crafty Jack | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Celebratory | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mr Sandman | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | For the Dreamers | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Edge of Glory | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jelly Nougat | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bullet Butch | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Beast Or Famine | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | A Dangerous Guy | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bode O | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Celtic Heart | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | One More Scoop | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Sugar Streak | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Adhwaa | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Congrats Answer | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Boca Royalty | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Luscious Lola | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | What a Beaut | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | B B’s Rocket | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Penance | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kenai Cool | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Call the Po Po | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Quiet Please | 20.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Time to Two Step | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Macrelletta | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.
