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Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Friday, January 13, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Pray for Us 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Country Lady 3.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Mia Antonia 6.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Highly Wicked 6.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Madison’s Screen 6.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Bitsy Perfectmatch 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Starsnmotion 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Guitar Woman 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Agami 5.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 She Told You So 6.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Dolly’s Guitar 5.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Griddy Up Girl 8.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Hopeitsmyluckyday 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Path to Success 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 King Tuff 3.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Seeking Splendor 4.00 3 6-1
1 1 Lord Captain 4.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Klimtomaniac 4.50 4.6 9-1
5 5 Izeondec 4.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Takeover Time 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Onecallthatsall 4.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Rosie Sprit 6.00 2.9 6-1
2 2 Jazz Jazz Jazz 6.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Tazzher 6.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Reina Aces 6.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 One Mo to Go 15.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Pseudoscience 10.00 8.1 15-1
9 9 Zipping Molly 6.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Why Behave 1.40 1 2-1
5 5 Sassy Emma 4.50 4.3 8-1
3 3 Sikum 4.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Pi Yo Princess 8.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Mia Baby 6.00 6.1 11-1
6 6 Medway Queen 10.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 Texas Tidelands 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Rammer Jammer 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Illusioned 6.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Vale 5.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Ice Axe 10.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Spinstrawinto Gold 5.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 He Is Worthy 30.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Herms Crown 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Butler Cabin 5.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Recon 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Trail Ridge Road 5.00 1 2-1
4 4 Flatter Me Silly 4.50 1.1 2-1
1 1 Soft Touch 4.50 1.5 3-1
8 8 Dreamworker 3.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 Be Up 4.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Russian Mafia 4.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Watrugonnadokaren 8.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Laura’s Charm 10.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 O’Babe 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 No Pedigree 4.50 1 2-1
9 9 Coach Kenny 10.00 4.3 8-1
2 1 Available Star 6.00 5 10-1
8 8 Afleet Ascent 8.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Zion 30.00 5.3 10-1
3 2 Cherokee Takeover 6.00 6.8 13-1
4 3 Saber Run 10.00 8.6 16-1
1A 10 Half Again 3.50 SCRATCH
1 4 Secret Vista 3.50 SCRATCH
10 11 Golden Palace 4.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Mister Don 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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