Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Dream Big Dreams | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Down Cold | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Trash Talkin Larry | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Late Night Larry | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ghostlighter | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Auspicious Lad | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hachure | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Duke of Dooly | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Love Talk | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Imagine a Cure | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Bubba Chrome | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Run Rocky Run | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Hopperness | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Point Us Home | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Vasy Says Nyet | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 9 | Da Beers On Ice | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 4 | Irish Warlock | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sevier | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Free Dancer | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Redeem Eddie | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Speak Unity | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Charge to Victory | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Super Garner | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Blown Save | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Johnnyfrenchfri | 1.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stardust Ziggy | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dart | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bonded | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Completed Storm | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Noble Prendergast | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Secret Sanctuary | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Dynamite Duke | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Coatandtierequired | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Wired In | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | See Out | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Maybe It’s Time | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Mr. Fibonacci | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Tego | 50.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Awesome Dynamo | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 9 | Just Once More | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Rustys Gfivefifty | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mose Perfect | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Baton | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rhumjar | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brett’s World | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mr Jefferson | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Under the Radar | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Artistic Reason | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Boss Logic | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Walk Away Joe | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Vasariano | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Torch of Truth | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Maximum Impact | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | One Two Kid | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Benandjoe | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Galerio | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Iywaan | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Irish Cork | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Southern District | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vance Scholars | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Practical Coach | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Domineer | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shackleford County | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ever So d’Wild | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Appalachianheights | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fortes | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Torch Carrier | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Unrequited Love | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.