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Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, January 14, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Asset Basis 0 0-1
8 8 Still On the Books 4.50 1 2-1
7 7 Fast Lane 5.00 1.1 2-1
5 5 Bourbon On Fire 12.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 El Gemar 3.50 1.5 3-1
4 4 Guided Arrow 3.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Lucky Dude 8.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Kentucky Bourbon 10.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Asset Basis 4.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 First Empress 3.50 1 2-1
9 9 Undecoded 3.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Close to Me 15.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Ipsum Gratus 2.50 3.8 7-1
3 3 Silent Scarlet 4.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Elegance N Tonic 12.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Mumblebee 12.00 6.6 13-1
4 4 Duchess Bubbles 20.00 6.6 13-1
1 1 Visual Magic 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Carbonite 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Sisaway Now 12.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Papa Rocket 4.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 Hanks 4.50 2.9 5-1
7 7 Rum ‘n Tonic 12.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Touch Code 15.00 4 8-1
1 1 Midnight Majesty 3.50 5.4 10-1
9 9 Treaty 15.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Happy Boy Rocket 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Verifying 1.20 1 2-1
4 4 Gunflash 12.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Judo 8.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Two Eagles River 1.60 2.9 5-1
8 8 Recker Point 20.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Gun Pilot 15.00 5 9-1
3 3 Winters Lion 12.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Coffee Caliente 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Stellar Lily 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Church Service 12.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Candy Caramel 8.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Vow 1.80 4.8 9-1
5 5 Fabulous Fanny 8.00 5 9-1
3 3 Tyrona 15.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Tales of Home 3.00 6.6 13-1
1 1 Shezapistol 20.00 8.7 16-1
8 8 Chartreuse 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Ash Flat 1.60 1 2-1
1 1 Impressed 4.00 2.4 4-1
5 5 Shadow Matter 10.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Slam Dunk Sermon 5.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Full Impact 6.00 4 8-1
6 6 Gozilla 6.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Lake Radio 20.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 That Khenny 20.00 6.9 13-1
9 9 Lookin for Loki 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Sassy Lass 4.50 1 2-1
5 5 Finishwhatustarted 8.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Sophie’s Star 20.00 3.9 7-1
14 14 Miss Pony Up 30.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Elmo’s Secret 30.00 7.9 15-1
12 12 Betty Jo 4.00 9.3 17-1
7 7 Bradley Pink 2.00 9.8 18-1
8 8 Street Painter 10.00 10.2 19-1
10 10 Grandma Belle 15.00 10.6 20-1
11 11 Miss Arkansas 30.00 10.8 20-1
1 1 Relentless Rocket 15.00 11.5 22-1
2 2 Quarantined 10.00 11.5 22-1
13 13 Altar Girl 30.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Miss Double 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Lovemesomeme 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Tizplenty 4.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Dealing Justice 15.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Portilla 2.50 3.6 7-1
4 4 Hazy Command 8.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Headland 8.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Rock Star Parking 6.00 6 11-1
5 5 Lisette 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Fifth Season S.) – Fifth Season S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Ginobili 0 0-1
1 1 Soy Tapatio 4.50 1 2-1
8 8 Ginobili 1.40 1.2 2-1
10 10 Silver Prospector 20.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Runnin’ Ray 8.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Heart Rhythm 12.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Rated R Superstar 4.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Seize the Night 20.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Hello Hot Rod 12.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Dreamer’s Disease 20.00 7.1 13-1
9 9 King Fury 10.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Rocket and Roll 1.60 1 2-1
8 8 Citizen 15.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Itwasthisbig 15.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Pappy Wolfe 12.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Shopper’s Revenge 2.00 4.1 8-1
10 10 Escapologist 4.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Bougie Joe 20.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Talladega 20.00 8.3 16-1
7 7 Tahoe Run 20.00 8.5 16-1
5 5 Violent River 30.00 9.7 18-1
11 11 Empire’s Best 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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