Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bizzy Gal | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Always Angels | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Saltwater Gypsy | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tattered Heart | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Santangelo | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Addie Lynn | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gun of Gold | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Derby Quest | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Xylophone | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mohaylady | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stylin N Profilin | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | West Side Girl | 1.80 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Simona’s Choice | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bid for Power | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Right Trappe | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Reliant | 3.50 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Olliemeister | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ginsburned | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cold as Hell | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pledgeofallegiance | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Brawndo | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Out Run’m | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pistol Or Shotgun | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Love My Jimmy | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Analyzer | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bravo Bravo | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Herd Immunity | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Coltons Dream | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hot Pastrami | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chapel Barn | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dr. Forman | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Guard | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Zoffa | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Wesleyan | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | K J’s Legacy | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miri a Coincidence | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hardscrabble | 4.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wicked Prince | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Salty Jones | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Kinda Teton | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Preacher’s Pet | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Westover | 3.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mr Works | 12.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Just Because | 10.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Four Dice | 30.00 | 12.2 | 23-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Royal de Be | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Full Buck Moon | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Daboogeyman | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | So It Would Seem | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shell Shock | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hartley | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cost a Fortune | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chai Tea | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big Java | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | No Drama Momma | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | One Way Or Another | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Argumental | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Greatheart | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Quick to Blame | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Right Tone | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Conspiracy Fact | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Unified Dreams | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr Creed | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chrome’s Right | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Get Through | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shinnecock Hills | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Quality Run | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wildwood’s Warrior | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Full Authority | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fore Left | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Whiskey Double | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chief Ron | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jerry’s Eighty | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Digital | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Deflater | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ribbons and Medals | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Missin Curfew | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Golden Bandit | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Backside Buzz | 12.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Constitution Day | 30.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Permafrost | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Funny Uncle | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Outlaw Run | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Discovery Peak | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Procharger | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Fridaynightsoldier | 8.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Bold d’Oro | 30.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Once Upon a Dream | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | J J’s Joker | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.