Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Jonathan Who | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | I’ll Raise You | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lion Heart Legend | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I’m a Special Star | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I’m Looking Up | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Yes Bab | 1.60 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Slim Man | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Popeyes Heart | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Herzen | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Poseidon Wrath | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Smoky Topaz | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Honor My Speed | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. B Cause | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hardcore Folklore | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | My Kiki | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tay Tay’s Baby | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Prayers Saved | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rachie Rach | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Knights Sword | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Not So Sweet | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mo Bella | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | She’s My Priority | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Boston Lucille | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hidden Expectation | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Crider Chase | 4.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Apriority Lady | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Custom Maiden | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gifted Talent | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Hard Candy | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Reecemania | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Curious Irish | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Eurobeliever | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | McKay | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wicked Tough | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Arkansas Zong | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ide Like Hawaii | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Joey’s Lightening | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Crooks Rebel | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sassi Aspen | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Unbridled Pulpit | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Paynted Lover | 5.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Barney’s Passion | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mischevious Robert | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Lagoon | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Prideofdixiecreed | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Break | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | His Giant | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stomping Hotrod | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wilson to Lockett | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Unfathomed | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fiesty Fist | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Into Wishing | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Father Goose | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Too Much Crown | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flashy Premo | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Magawildtime | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jack Bob and Larry | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | West Texas Bob | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Muletrain | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Castleberry | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pac the Pulpit | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Saberman | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dark Matter | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Time to Move | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Arch of Swords | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.