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Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Friday, January 20, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Bonana Fanna Foe 1.60 1 2-1
5 5 Frannie Lew 1.80 1.6 3-1
1 1 Wine Goddess 3.00 2 4-1
6 6 Take Charge Lisa 6.00 4 7-1
3 3 Rent Control 12.00 5 9-1
4 4 Sarah’s Pride 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Wicked Lady 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Sweet Sensation 5.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 R Girl Faith 6.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Ice Cold Gold 1.40 3.3 6-1
1 1 Sweet Sugar Baby 5.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Crystal Orb 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Greatest Love 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Confirmed Genius 3.50 2.2 4-1
2 2 Prairie Fire 4.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Baci 10.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Olive Kat 4.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Chloe Rose 2.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Doctor Love 1.80 1 2-1
6 7 Russian to Win 4.50 2 4-1
2 1 One Whirlwind Ride 2.50 2.5 5-1
5 6 Big Venezuela 6.00 2.7 5-1
4 5 Labarde 3.50 4.6 9-1
1A 4 Fenway 12.00 5.1 10-1
1 2 Clash A. J. 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Pretty Miss Keens 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 K D Kakes 3.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Forever Amy 12.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Magnolia Wind 4.50 4.8 9-1
2 2 Strange Fruit 6.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Joeybignose 3.50 6 11-1
6 6 Betting On a Stone 6.00 7.2 14-1
7 7 Britney Is Free 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 New York Supreme 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Holiday Jazz 5.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Captivating Cara 3.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Freudian 3.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Simple Sugar 4.50 5.4 10-1
6 6 Focus 6.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Ricelle 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 No Burn 4.50 1 2-1
6 6 Be Better 3.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 Two Thirty Five 4.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Little Demon 2.50 4.7 9-1
3 3 Locally Owned 3.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Senior Investment 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Ee Yah 4.50 1 2-1
5 5 That’s My Business 12.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Super Coach Fred 6.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Star Attitude 3.50 2.4 4-1
6 6 Sway’sinmydna 8.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Brass Monkey 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Chess Spectacular 1.60 SCRATCH
3 3 Uncle Dan 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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