Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Half Brother | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mo Moves | 1.80 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Awesome Cajun | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Uxmal | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brite Outlook | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cool Spirit | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Triple Red Aces | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Twirling Chief | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Wimbledon Bay | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cabochon Treasure | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dare to Fail | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Song Spectacular | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Serbian Sailor | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Uncle Brad | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Valid Break | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Umatilla | 10.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Roadside Girl | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Call Me Darlin | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ellie’s Touch | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Chatain’s Eagle | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Don’t Blink Twice | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Old Time Girl | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | A. P. Style | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rose of Cimarron | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Cat Hair Flying | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Saber Storm | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | K V Target | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Flat Out Fabio | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chan | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Midnight Hunter | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Petey | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Midge’s Time | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Triple | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 6 | Properly Connected | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Golden Remedy | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2B | 9 | A Soldier’s Way | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 10 | In Detail | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 4 | Madelyn’s Soldier | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Moro Outlaw | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Red Raider Xpress | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Winny’sspecialstar | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | All Country | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lunar Module | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Heza Pickle | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jamaican Me | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Willie the Man | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Soulology | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Holiday Diamond | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | King of Contraband | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gotmy Mo Jo Workin | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Josan | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Miss Lonelyhearts | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Throwback | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Follow Through | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hello Marylou | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Freebritney | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | California Belle | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Alabama Queen | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hidden Love | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Aztar | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Iron in the Fire | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tripper John | 1.80 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Guitar Doctor | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | G Don’t Know | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mucho Marvin | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Summer Is Hot | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | In for a Penny | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fancy Blaze | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ryan’s Grace | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cousin Vickie | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mila’s Kat | 4.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Inpending Breeze | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Thursday Morning | 8.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mo Dixie Diva | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cabo Sunset | 5.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Miss Miracle Girl | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | So Softly | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.
