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Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Friday, January 20, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Half Brother 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Mo Moves 1.80 2.4 4-1
6 6 Awesome Cajun 4.50 2.9 5-1
7 7 Uxmal 6.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Brite Outlook 5.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Cool Spirit 10.00 6.6 13-1
3 3 Triple Red Aces 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Twirling Chief 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Mr. Wimbledon Bay 3.50 1.1 2-1
4 4 Cabochon Treasure 5.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Dare to Fail 2.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Song Spectacular 8.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Serbian Sailor 10.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Uncle Brad 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Valid Break 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Umatilla 10.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Roadside Girl 2.50 3.6 7-1
8 8 Call Me Darlin 15.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Ellie’s Touch 15.00 3.8 7-1
10 10 Chatain’s Eagle 6.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Don’t Blink Twice 8.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Old Time Girl 10.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 A. P. Style 5.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Rose of Cimarron 15.00 7.5 14-1
11 11 Cat Hair Flying 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Saber Storm 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 K V Target 6.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Flat Out Fabio 5.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Chan 4.50 3.7 7-1
8 8 Midnight Hunter 8.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Petey 3.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Midge’s Time 10.00 6.6 13-1
6 6 Triple 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 6 Properly Connected 2.00 1 2-1
7 8 Golden Remedy 6.00 1.5 3-1
2B 9 A Soldier’s Way 6.00 1.7 3-1
8 10 In Detail 4.50 2.6 5-1
2 4 Madelyn’s Soldier 6.00 2.9 6-1
4 3 Moro Outlaw 3.50 3.2 6-1
6 7 Red Raider Xpress 10.00 4.9 9-1
3 2 Winny’sspecialstar 15.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 All Country 15.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 Lunar Module 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Heza Pickle 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Jamaican Me 3.50 2 4-1
1 1 Willie the Man 8.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Soulology 6.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Holiday Diamond 4.50 4.6 9-1
5 5 King of Contraband 5.00 5 9-1
7 7 Gotmy Mo Jo Workin 12.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Josan 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Miss Lonelyhearts 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Throwback 8.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Follow Through 3.50 3.6 7-1
4 4 Hello Marylou 12.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Freebritney 4.50 5.6 11-1
8 8 California Belle 6.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Alabama Queen 10.00 7.6 14-1
1 1 Hidden Love 6.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Aztar 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Iron in the Fire 3.50 1.4 3-1
1 1 Tripper John 1.80 3.4 7-1
3 3 Guitar Doctor 8.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 G Don’t Know 6.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Mucho Marvin 3.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Summer Is Hot 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 In for a Penny 8.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Fancy Blaze 6.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Ryan’s Grace 10.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Cousin Vickie 12.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Mila’s Kat 4.00 5 10-1
6 6 Inpending Breeze 15.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Thursday Morning 8.00 6.6 13-1
7 7 Mo Dixie Diva 15.00 7.4 14-1
10 10 Cabo Sunset 5.00 9.3 18-1
11 11 Miss Miracle Girl 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 So Softly 3.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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