Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Turfy | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Thundershook | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lord Dragon | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | American Tattoo (ARG) | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mystery Mo | 3.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Peekacho | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mo’s Mojo | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dial in for Lute | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Principe Guilherme | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Silvia | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Violent Point | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tap N Sway | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Everyotherwon | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Li’l Grazen | 1.80 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | A Girl Like Me | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cadeau de Paix | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hoping for a Ring | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Thetruthisthetruth | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Stay Fabulous | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mor Happy Hours | 20.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Her Name Was Lola | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Midsummer Soiree | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Naughty Madam | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jumpin Judy | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | I Got a Name | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sweet Shugs | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | I’m Beth Dutton | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bellamys Roan | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 9 | 9 | Afleet Sky | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Buddy Reaux | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hamazing Wisdom | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bellamys Roan | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Smokin Boots | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jacks Spring Break | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Topf Road Rules | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ghost Strategy | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | The Heat Is On | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Allo Enry | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Morning Drive | 50.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mahomey | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Home Base | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 8 | Cabot | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | California Street | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Drill’s Li’l Man | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sidetown | 4.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Nate’s Way | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Game Day Play | 3.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Carl G | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Wipe the Slate | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 1A | 13 | First Line | 10.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Generator | 12.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Wesleyan | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Livingontulsatime | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Wild Mule | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Choctaw Zip | 20.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Joking Way | 1.60 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mo’s Treasure | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Westheimer Street | 4.50 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Coffee Caliente | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Eli’s Promise | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Straight Luck | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Deus Ex Machina | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sparty Sense | 15.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Efficiency | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Osbourne | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ignitis | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sinner’s Sin | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Skelly | 2.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Emperador | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Towhead | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Unifying | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jet Setting | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Goldblooded | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dear Lady | 1.80 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Boss Lady Bailey | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Demi | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fabulous Candy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Key to Success | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Santino’s Fantasy | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | El Mongo | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mattfoleyvanman | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Yacht Rock (IRE) | 1.40 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Brilliant Colors | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Eternally Grateful | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Thinkingndrinking | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Malorie’s Big Boy | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ransam Paynter | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Chowmein | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lieutenant Jack | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.