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Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, January 21, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Visionista 0 0-1
7 7 New Destiny 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Muchmorethanready 5.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Olivia G 3.50 3.9 7-1
5 5 Shes a Lucky Rebel 5.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 For Harper 4.50 5.3 10-1
9 9 Visionista 10.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Bayou Beauty 8.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 Two Jet 8.00 8.5 16-1
2 2 Yockey Betterfly 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Evergrande 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Souper Explosive 4.50 2 4-1
6 6 Golden View 4.50 2.2 4-1
2 2 Sweet Alyssa 12.00 4 7-1
1 1 Destine to Race 12.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Ichiban 15.00 5 9-1
7 7 Arden’s Assault 3.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Sweet Shild O Mine 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Fiesta Besta 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Cagliostro 4.00 1 2-1
8 8 Mo Hope 5.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 Sense You Asked 6.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Coal Boss 12.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Gametime Gladiator 6.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Oddsontony 6.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Midnight Pranks 12.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Spielman 3.00 SCRATCH
4 4 First Class Harlow 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Merlazza 0 0-1
4 4 L J’s Emma 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Merlazza 4.50 1.1 2-1
6 6 My Aunt Snookie 6.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Mariah’s Appeal 6.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Super Luxe 6.00 5.6 10-1
8 8 Unsung Melody 8.00 5.9 11-1
10 10 Curlin Serenade 8.00 6.1 11-1
5 5 Song Bridge 10.00 7.7 15-1
1 1 Run Chata 12.00 8.6 16-1
3 3 Raggity Sand 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Marie G. Krantz Memorial S.) – Marie G. Krantz Memorial S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Charlie’s Penny 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 My Philly Twirl 6.00 2.4 4-1
3 3 Lake Lucerne 3.50 3.2 6-1
4 4 Carpe Vinum 8.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Fancy Martini 8.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Wave of Goodness 4.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Miss Speedy 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Ghostly Girl 8.00 1 2-1
9 9 Grapes for Eloise 4.50 1.4 3-1
5 5 Comparative 2.50 1.6 3-1
3 3 Huntleigh 6.00 3 6-1
4 4 Spartan Queen 6.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Lure’em In 8.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Cushee 8.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Madly Dancing 12.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 She’s Lookin Lucky 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 First Defender 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 City Nights 3.50 2.2 4-1
8 8 Kigali 5.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Hey Jackson 8.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Golden Nugget 10.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Pinfire 8.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Quaternion 8.00 6.9 13-1
10 10 Little Steven 12.00 7.5 14-1
9 9 Guadalajara 12.00 9.4 18-1
6 6 Earl of Dassel 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Colonel E. R. Bradley S.) – Colonel E. R. Bradley S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Price Talk 3.00 1 2-1
9 9 Gentle Soul 5.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Two Emmys 2.50 3.4 6-1
5 5 Ready to Purrform 6.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 English Tavern 4.50 4.9 9-1
8 8 Big Agenda 6.00 5.3 10-1
10 10 American Hero 15.00 7.6 14-1
1 1 Freedom Factor 30.00 7.9 15-1
6 6 Sailing Solo 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Greyes Creek 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Business Model 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Determinedly 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Tapit’s Conquest 3.50 2.8 5-1
6 6 Invulnerable 4.50 4.1 8-1
4 4 Tapit Shoes 4.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Silver Heist 8.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Banishing 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Mobster 3.00 1 2-1
2 1 Onasa 5.00 4.6 9-1
1 4 Fight’n Ready 4.50 6.3 12-1
4 3 Baseline Beater 8.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Single Ruler 8.00 6.5 12-1
3 2 Presider 6.00 8.2 15-1
6 6 Kauai Dan 6.00 8.5 16-1
1A 10 Silver Bull 4.50 9.2 17-1
5 5 Briartown 12.00 9.9 19-1
9 9 Two Rivers Over 10.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Duncan F. Kenner S.) – Duncan F. Kenner S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Bango 3.50 1 2-1
10 10 Surveillance 3.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Boldor 4.50 2.4 5-1
6 6 Sign of War 8.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Manny Wah 1.80 4 7-1
7 7 Yankee Seven 20.00 6 11-1
5 5 Angaston 3.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Pyron 10.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Kennesaw 15.00 SCRATCH
9 9 My Pal Mattie 4.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Evan Sing 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 12 (Silverbulletday S. Presented By Fasig-tipton) – Silverbulletday S. Presented By Fasig-tipton

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Chop Chop 1.60 1 2-1
3 3 Hayunevano 8.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 The Alys Look 3.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Forest Chimes 4.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Cotton Candy Annie 20.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Norah G 8.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 Amber Cascade 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 13 (Louisiana S. Presented By Relyne Gi By Hagyard) – Louisiana S. Presented By Relyne Gi By Hagyard

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Chess Chief 0 0-1
7 7 Forza Di Oro 4.50 1 2-1
2 2 Run Classic 4.00 1.4 3-1
9 9 Mr. Wireless 5.00 1.5 3-1
8 8 Zozos 3.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Happy American 4.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Intrepid Heart 8.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Chess Chief 20.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Gentle Soul 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Business Model 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 14 (Lecomte S.) – Lecomte S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Two Phil’s 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Instant Coffee 2.50 1.1 2-1
1 1 Echo Again 6.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Denington 8.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Bromley 5.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Confidence Game 8.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Itzos 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Tapit’s Conquest 4.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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