Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Town Champ | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Drena’s Star | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Trumpence | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Livingontulsatime | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Otis Otis Otis | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Firery Tale | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Heza Wild Ride | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Released | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | House Wrecker | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dawnland | 2.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | C C the Bartender | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Proud Victoria | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hale’s Angel | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Visual Magic | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Five Queens | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dorita’s Heart | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Costanarmandaleg | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Amenset | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Commander | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | No Guilt | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blame the Toll | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Into Disco | 2.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dial Toni | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sheza Cat | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Elusive Belle | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bread Winner | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hard to Come By | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Propellant | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Daryl’s Bolt | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Caballo Feliz | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Commander Rex | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Double Strike | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bubba Can Dance | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Line to Gain | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jim Ned | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Derby Day Lassie | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Run Fearless | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Big On Broadway | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Guest in My Heart | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Rita | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jeri Dawn | 5.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | She’s Hamazing | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Half Scout | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | K J’s Pistol Annie | 10.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Navagationalbeacon | 3.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Dutton | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Little Frappucino | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Shotgun Up | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stroll Likn Outlaw | 30.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Strickland | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Talk to Tokey | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Uptown Social | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vobiscum | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Classic Shine | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | R R Empire | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tequila Revolution | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Macho Ronnie | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mahomey | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Data Storm | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lochmoor | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rolling Fork | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Twisted Dixie | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dinner At Crumpies | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Obviously Too | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Magic Castle | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stefano | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rvindicated | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cosmo | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Runway Magic | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Prodigious Bay | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Contact Tracing | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Simovitch | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Major General | 3.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Notary | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bella’s Prayer | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Geaux Yoshka | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Thought | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Romancer | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Lapis Lazuli | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | My Noah | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Practical Man | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Billy Yank | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Del Moon | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | New Dice | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Extravagate | 1.60 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | First Rate | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Golden Luna | 2.50 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hellephent | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Laughing Legacy | 6.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Freer | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | American Smooth | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.