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Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, February 2, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
6 Call Me Collect 1.80 1.05 2.40 2.10 2.10
7 Chelsea’s Glory 5.00 1.00 5.20 3.20
4 Custom Dancer 10.00 2.43 5.40

$1.00 Exacta (6-7) Pays $5.90
$0.50 Trifecta (6-7-4) Pays $21.95
$0.10 Superfecta (6-7-4-5) Pays $9.73


RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
1 T R’s First 4.00 3.81 5.80 3.40 2.40
4 Cousin Vickie 8.00 6.82 8.00 3.80
2 Stop Shop N Drop 10.00 4.36 3.00

$1.00 Exacta (1-4) Pays $20.80
$0.50 Trifecta (1-4-2) Pays $36.05
$0.10 Superfecta (1-4-2-3) Pays $63.73


RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
8 Maemaemay 6.00 5.89 5.40 3.40 2.80
1 Mardi Gras Alarm 3.50 2.45 6.40 4.20
10 Beautifulguatemala 5.00 1.00 4.00

$1.00 Exacta (8-1) Pays $18.20
$0.50 Trifecta (8-1-10) Pays $37.95
$0.10 Superfecta (8-1-10-2) Pays $29.54


RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
6 Mila’s Kat 1.80 1.00 3.80 2.40 2.20
5 She’s Takin Over 5.00 3.80 4.60 3.40
1 Tale of Tensas 12.00 3.57 12.20

$1.00 Exacta (6-5) Pays $8.80
$0.50 Trifecta (6-5-1) Pays $57.50
$0.10 Superfecta (6-5-1-3) Pays $36.44


RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
8 Cherry Star 2.50 1.00 6.40 2.80 2.20
2 Lil Miss Sunshine 10.00 7.43 3.60 2.60
4 Mint Julius 5.00 3.98 2.60

$1.00 Exacta (8-2) Pays $10.10
$0.50 Trifecta (8-2-4) Pays $13.95
$0.10 Superfecta (8-2-4-3) Pays $12.44


RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
4 Big Rojo 5.00 6.31 5.80 3.40 2.40
2 Waitin’ On a Woman 4.50 2.23 5.60 3.60
5 Mr Liberty 2.00 6.16 2.60

$1.00 Exacta (4-2) Pays $13.00
$0.50 Trifecta (4-2-5) Pays $24.95
$0.10 Superfecta (4-2-5-1) Pays $16.03


RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
5 Alexis S 2.00 1.08 7.60 2.60 2.10
6 Miracle Warrior 6.00 1.93 2.10 2.10
7 Tapit to the Line 15.00 2.34 3.20

$1.00 Exacta (5-6) Pays $5.90
$0.50 Trifecta (5-6-7) Pays $14.80
$0.10 Superfecta (5-6-7-1) Pays $6.22


RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
5 Hyperbolist 6.00 2.55 3.40 2.60 2.10
1 Coastal Chaos 4.00 1.00 4.80 3.20
7 Theo d’Or 10.00 7.90 5.20

$1.00 Exacta (5-1) Pays $7.10
$0.50 Trifecta (5-1-7) Pays $29.55
$0.10 Superfecta (5-1-7-2) Pays $45.33


RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
10 Wonder Run 4.00 1.00 6.00 3.20 2.60
7 B B Moody 15.00 4.68 29.40 14.60
3 I’ll Raise You 3.00 6.67 3.00

$1.00 Exacta (10-7) Pays $98.70
$0.50 Trifecta (10-7-3) Pays $341.60
$0.10 Superfecta (10-7-3-9) Pays $197.03


Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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