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Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, February 4, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 1 Check Engine Light 0.00 1 2-1
5A 5 Alice Kramden 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Gifted 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 River Oaks 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Balpool 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Tryinmyheartout 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Voliero 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Jade’s Dream 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Jaa Mode 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Regality 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Jonny Quist 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Ria’s Angel 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Ruthless S.) – Ruthless S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Senior Prank 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Malibu Moonshine 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Interpolate 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Girl Trouble 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Royal Poppy 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Musical Heart 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Therisastormbrewin 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Gentleman Joe 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Bourbon Bay 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Blake B. 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Maximum Impact 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Caribbean (AUS) 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Art of Courage 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Pop Coyer 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 On the Ledge 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Lifetime of Chance 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Miracle Mike 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Disarmed 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Radio Red 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Jemography 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Runningwscissors 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Warriors Revenge 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Victory Built 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 More Graytful 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Scilly Cay 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Bold Journey 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Withers S.) – Withers S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 General Banker 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Ninetyprcentmaddie 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Prove Right 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Arctic Arrogance 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Andiamo a Firenze 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Hit Show 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Chateau 0.00 1 2-1
3A 3 Beverly Park 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Cees Get Degrees 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Sheriff Bianco 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 American Gentleman 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Nova Rags 0.00 1 2-1
8A 8 Steinbeck 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 In Dreams 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Naked and Famous 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Jet Speed 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Vive Bien 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Raw Courage 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Gimmebackmybullets 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Can’t Beat Me 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Misbehaved 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Eminency 0.00 1 2-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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