Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Warrior Richard | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Will Be Famous | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stormandy | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Uncle Dan | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | That’s My Business | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pine Alley | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | El Gran Cuyaya | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| Will Be Famous | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 8 | Winning Drive | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Zertz | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Dee Bo | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Poppy’s Pride | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Icy Storm | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Standup | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 1A | 6 | R Boy Bode | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 4 | Exxtop | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Big Bean Christine | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Diamond Collector | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Preposterous | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cupids Girl | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Alpine Queen | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | True Empress | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Game Theory | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Rol Again Dancer | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Larz | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Outlaw Country | 3.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fire King | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mshindi | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Basic Truth | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flashy Alex | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lifetime of Chance | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miracle Mike | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Disarmed | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Art of Courage | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Radio Red | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pop Coyer | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | On the Ledge | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| On the Ledge | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Vive Bien | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jet Speed | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ginnsu Warrior | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Naked and Famous | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Eminency | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Can’t Beat Me | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Raw Courage | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lord Brownie | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Glory Road | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | O’Trouble | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Two Thirty Five | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Risk Profile | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Super Garner | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | It’s Mandatory | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lost in Rome | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blake B. | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Carbon | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stone Creator | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Juliana’s Rose | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shadolamo | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tempermental | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Keen Dancer | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Tony’s Girl | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Yogi | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | October Bliss | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Empire Ride | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Who Me | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Two Chuckles | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Amman | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Connect the Brocks | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Boys Code | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bobbo’s Boy | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | In My Shadow | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.