Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sicilia Mike | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Goldini | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Microscope | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Royal Realm | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Supply Chain | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | American Lincoln | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jumpster | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| Royal Realm | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Musical Heart | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wild Banker | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bourbon Bay | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gentleman Joe | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Therisastormbrewin | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Prince of Pharoahs | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blake B. | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mosienko | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Piece of My Heart | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Secret Love | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Exotic West | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Self Isolation | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Easy to Bless | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| Piece of My Heart | 8 | 15-1 | |||
| Secret Love | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Laochi | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bavarian Creme | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Limani | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bon Adieu | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Practical Julia | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lem Me Drink | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | She’s a Natural | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Virtual Beauty | 50.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Melting Snow | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Sweet Wife | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mia Bea Star | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Movie Moxy | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vallarand | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Irie Empress | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Amity Island | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 5 | Sheriff Bianco | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Nova Rags | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 10 | Chateau | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Cees Get Degrees | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Big Engine | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 3 | Gagetown | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1A | 4 | Steinbeck | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 1 | In Dreams | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 7 | American Gentleman | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Heir Port | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Hydra | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Customerexperience | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sister Annie | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Alarm Clock | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Baba | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tiz Gracie | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Its Cold in Dehere | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Triple P | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Warriors Revenge | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Scocciatore | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Scilly Cay | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bold Journey | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | More Graytful | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jemography | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Runningwscissors | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Victory Built | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Brew Pub | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | Ria’s Angel | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1A | 9 | Storm Shooter | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jade’s Dream | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Phoebe’s Frosty | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Prince of Joy | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Regality | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jonny Quist | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Voliero | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Exxtop | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.