Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Monroe | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Naughty Nan | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Debbie Darling | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Angel | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Queens Over Threes | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Majestic Return | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Aeron Warrior | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Hazel | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Krystalheir | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Quick Return | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Double Shot | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Masked Marauder | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bronx Bomber | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Foolish Ghost | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gandy Dancing | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ruvies in Time | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | First Deputy | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Jimmy Winkfield S.) – Jimmy Winkfield S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Drew’s Gold | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Clubhouse | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Joey Freshwater | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kool Kathmandu | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Daydreaming Boy | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | Tenebris | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1A | 8 | Joey Loose Lips | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ikigai | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Allaboutthemoney | 3.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Win for Gold | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 10 | Upper Level | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Mo Rewards | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | King James | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Turnsandconditions | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Clash A. J. | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Holiday Jazz | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ben’s Sunny Island | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Captivating Cara | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Darn That Song | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Write This Down | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Riding On a Winner | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | My Delicious | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Predetermined | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Crystal Orb | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Midmon | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 10 | Everso Mischievous | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Moore’s Law | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 5 | Whenlovetakesover | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Mo Than Luck | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 2 | Common Prosperity | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1A | 4 | Egypt | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Fast Boat to Skye | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 11 | Leonids | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Login Required | 15.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Toxic Gray | 15.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Cloud Music | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Pit Boss | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Leddy | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 10 | American Rule | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Grumps Little Tots | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sundaeswithsandy | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cool Quartet | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 11 | Swift Tap | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Friends Beer | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Irish Honor | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 2 | Crypto Cash | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 1A | 9 | Caribbean (AUS) | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Patient Capital | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 4 | Anejo | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1A | 10 | Loose Goose | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Macallan | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Silver Seeker | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Shipsational | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Royal Tryst | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Giant’s Fire | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Son of an Ex | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Magia Nera | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Withers S.) – Withers S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Arctic Arrogance | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hit Show | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jungfrau | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | General Banker | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ninetyprcentmaddie | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Andiamo a Firenze | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Prove Right | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Central Love | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Four Eyes | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Camm’ Duke | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Willintoriskitall | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bustinupishardtodo | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lieutenant Sam | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | M. C. Double R | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Metamorphoses | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Milagroso | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Somama Beach | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Excalibrate | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.