Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Brite Outlook | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Eurobeliever | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cowboy Values | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Curious Irish | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Golduster | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Catchin Drama | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Serape | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Noneya | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Courtly Doc | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lil Adeau | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Scrapbook | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Follow the Saint | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lovers Never Say | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Easy Eddie A | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Throwin’ Shade | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | St Pierre | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Snakebit | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Drinkin Double | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Knight’s Musket | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Midnight Oil | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Petey | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Macer the Racer | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kats Pick | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Malibu Money | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Winning Dance | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Arch of Swords | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | In the Arch | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2B | 10 | King of the Court | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Parlay Pete | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 1 | Hulen | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 4 | Golden Passage | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 2 | Lucky Break | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1A | 6 | Gimmeasound | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | B W P Special | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 3 | Yes Bab | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 9 | Whenthedovescry | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| King of the Court | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dianna’s Jet | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Varsity Flygirl | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Katie’s Karat | 1.60 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cave Creek | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Girl Thirsty | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Goodnightloving | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Atomic Rose | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wildwood Maggie | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fasted | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Psalm Prayer | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Smiling Angel | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | She’s Wayne’s | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rememberin Ronald | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Time to Close | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Blueridgeballerina | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tarkington Girl | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Share the Doe | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Red Hot Mess | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Misty Day | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Donya Know It | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rush Hour Traffic | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Inawic | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Beyond the Hype | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Chapel of Dreams | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Henning | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Book | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Waitin’ On a Woman | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Graham ‘s Cruiser | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ted Striker | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Heather’s Request | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gottatakehimto | 3.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Thirtyeightcaliber | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Paynted Lover | 6.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Band Boss | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.