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Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, February 12, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Steerage 1.60 1 2-1
6 6 Trevor Bardette 2.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Makart 3.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Zeebear 5.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Noah’s Destiny 12.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Bointheback 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Two Redheads 1.00 1 2-1
4 4 Hypnocurrency 4.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Strange Fruit 5.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Bernt Again 6.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Kara Para 8.00 4 8-1
6 6 Cause I’m Elegant 10.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Dashing Della 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Broadway S.) – Broadway S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Bank Sting 1.20 1 2-1
2 2 Betsy Blue 1.60 1.2 2-1
3 3 Know It All Audrey 6.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 November Rein 8.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Funny How 8.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Honey Money 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Proven Hope 1.40 1 2-1
7 7 North Pole 2.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Tiger Town Boy 4.50 1.7 3-1
5 5 Lefty’s War 5.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Papi On Ice 12.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Golden Purchase 15.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Red Jet 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Sweet as Sugar 1.20 1 2-1
5 5 Qpidscarizmatkqtee 3.50 1.9 4-1
6 6 London Gold 4.50 2.2 4-1
8 8 Villareggia 6.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Easy Play 8.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Idaka 12.00 5 9-1
3 3 More Mango 20.00 8 15-1
1 1 Bells On Her Toes 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 3 Patrick the Great 1.60 1 2-1
1A 7 Bourbon’s Hope 1.60 1 2-1
5 5 Kong Loves a Fight 3.50 2.1 4-1
2 1 B C Glory Days 4.50 2.7 5-1
6 6 Gimmebackmybullets 6.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Ava K’s Boy 8.00 4.8 9-1
8 9 He’sgottashortfuse 10.00 6 11-1
7 8 Romanoatsee 12.00 7.2 14-1
3 2 Centavo 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 6 Senor Jobim 2.00 1 2-1
1 3 Handsome Cat 2.00 1 2-1
7 8 Ragtime Blues 2.50 1.2 2-1
8 9 Printrack 4.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Motion to Strike 6.00 2.8 5-1
6 7 Caerus 10.00 4.6 9-1
3 2 Caribbean (AUS) 10.00 4.6 9-1
2 1 F F Rocket 12.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Striking Speed 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Late Night Larry 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Joey Loose Lips 2.50 1.1 2-1
3 3 Safalow’s Mission 3.50 1.4 3-1
8 8 Son of an Ex 6.00 2 4-1
4 4 Uno 8.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Storied Fella 10.00 3 6-1
2 2 Datesfreedom 20.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Alite 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Chess Spectacular 2.50 1 2-1
6 7 Super Coach Fred 3.00 1.2 2-1
7 8 Paros 3.50 1.3 3-1
2 1 Financial Strength 4.00 1.5 3-1
1 4 Arrebato 10.00 3.5 7-1
8 9 Bella Cosa 10.00 3.5 7-1
1A 5 Sway’sinmydna 10.00 3.5 7-1
9 10 Brass Monkey 15.00 5.1 10-1
3 2 Golden Bird Forest 20.00 6.7 13-1
5 6 Bear’s Correct 30.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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