Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Laurel Valley | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Sorpreso | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1A | 7 | M. C. Double R | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 2 | Hot Rod Lincoln | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Saratoga Strong | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Boys Code | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Saratoga Red | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Liotta | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sheriff Bianco | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nabokov | 1.60 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | King Angelo | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Engine | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Monday Morning Qb | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | American Gentleman | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Heavenly Prize Invitational S.) – Heavenly Prize Invitational S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Falconet | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Battle Bling | 1.60 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Frost Point | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Piece of My Heart | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mommasgottarun | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Cinderella’s Cause | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1A | 7 | She’s a Black Belt | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 6 | Chaysenbryn | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Left Leaning Lucy | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Meraviglioso | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Triple P | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Betty’s Smile | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Honorable Lilly | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | K D Kakes | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Amanda’s Folly | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Derwin’s Paynter | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Gorgeous | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Queenpin | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Deniece of Degrace | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Four Quartz | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | La Chance | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Seanan | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Breadman | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jay’stalker | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dontbelate | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | One More Score | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bingo John | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jonny Quist | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jaa Mode | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Centavo | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Power in Numbers | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Register | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ride Up | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | There Be Dragons | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Asmodeus | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | McCullough | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Egypt | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Foxburg | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Yorkshire Prince | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Battuta d’Oro | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| Asmodeus | 13 | 25-1 | |||
| Register | 13 | 25-1 | |||
| Register | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Today’s Flavor | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Twelth Man | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ryan’s Cat | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Handsome Cat | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Russian to Win | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gaslight | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kaz’s Beach | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Surprise Boss | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Allaboutthemoney | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Callaloo | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Colloquy | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Venezuela | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Afjan | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Midnight Worker | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Smoke and Heat | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Liam’s Fire | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Son of an Ex | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mach One | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cagney | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.