Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Official Results
| Prgm | Name | ML | Expected | Win | Place | Show |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Valid Break | 3.00 | 1.00 | 4.60 | 2.80 | 2.20 |
| 7 | Don’t Look Ethel | 4.50 | 3.09 | 4.40 | 3.00 | |
| 4 | Crapaud | 6.00 | 4.39 | 3.80 |
$1.00 Exacta (6-7) Pays $7.70
$0.50 Trifecta (6-7-4) Pays $16.10
$0.10 Superfecta (6-7-4-2) Pays $15.73
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Official Results
| Prgm | Name | ML | Expected | Win | Place | Show |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Midnight Nightmare | 5.00 | 3.32 | 6.60 | 6.20 | 4.20 |
| 4 | Bourbon St Tappin | 4.00 | 6.00 | 6.00 | 5.00 | |
| 1 | Masterly | 2.50 | 2.44 | 3.40 |
$1.00 Exacta (3-4) Pays $23.90
$0.50 Trifecta (3-4-1) Pays $64.75
$0.10 Superfecta (3-4-1-5) Pays $63.46
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Official Results
| Prgm | Name | ML | Expected | Win | Place | Show |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Mr. Butch Womble | 3.00 | 1.58 | 4.40 | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| 8 | Ocean Kiss | 15.00 | 9.00 | 10.00 | 6.40 | |
| 6 | Dixieland Storming | 6.00 | 3.32 | 4.60 |
$1.00 Exacta (7-8) Pays $23.70
$0.50 Trifecta (7-8-6) Pays $88.65
$0.10 Superfecta (7-8-6-9) Pays $56.65
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Official Results
| Prgm | Name | ML | Expected | Win | Place | Show |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | That’s My Mama | 6.00 | 3.04 | 18.80 | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| 7 | Cute Dinero Queen | 3.00 | 5.06 | 3.60 | 2.60 | |
| 3 | Lovelyredstilettos | 6.00 | 3.65 | 4.00 |
$1.00 Exacta (4-7) Pays $38.80
$0.50 Trifecta (4-7-3) Pays $108.50
$0.10 Superfecta (4-7-3-9) Pays $60.38
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Official Results
| Prgm | Name | ML | Expected | Win | Place | Show |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Chief Charlie | 4.00 | 1.00 | 3.40 | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| 6 | Math Man | 5.00 | 1.70 | 3.60 | 2.80 | |
| 9 | Michael’s Bad Boy | 12.00 | 4.09 | 12.20 |
$1.00 Exacta (8-6) Pays $5.60
$0.50 Trifecta (8-6-9) Pays $57.05
$0.10 Superfecta (8-6-9-1) Pays $35.87
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Official Results
| Prgm | Name | ML | Expected | Win | Place | Show |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Half a Buck | 6.00 | 5.71 | 32.60 | 13.40 | 9.60 |
| 3 | Marketbook | 10.00 | 1.00 | 13.00 | 8.00 | |
| 9 | Spry Charlie | 6.00 | 4.54 | 10.40 |
$1.00 Exacta (5-3) Pays $136.80
$0.50 Trifecta (5-3-9) Pays $1,146.70
$0.10 Superfecta (5-3-9-2) Pays $1,022.55
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Official Results
| Prgm | Name | ML | Expected | Win | Place | Show |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Sir Overanalyze | 3.00 | 3.37 | 14.80 | 7.40 | 3.60 |
| 2 | Rock On Cowboy | 10.00 | 2.08 | 7.80 | 4.40 | |
| 8 | M and M’s Custom | 4.00 | 1.48 | 3.40 |
$1.00 Exacta (5-2) Pays $69.60
$0.50 Trifecta (5-2-8) Pays $132.75
$0.10 Superfecta (5-2-8-4) Pays $72.92
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Official Results
| Prgm | Name | ML | Expected | Win | Place | Show |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Calculated | 8.00 | 2.96 | 22.40 | 11.20 | 8.60 |
| 1 | Bet Again | 12.00 | 1.63 | 8.00 | 5.80 | |
| 6 | King of Contraband | 8.00 | 3.18 | 5.20 |
$1.00 Exacta (4-1) Pays $101.40
$0.50 Trifecta (4-1-6) Pays $338.15
$0.10 Superfecta (4-1-6-9) Pays $692.77
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Official Results
| Prgm | Name | ML | Expected | Win | Place | Show |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mardi Gras Alarm | 4.50 | 4.52 | 8.60 | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| 7 | Beautifulguatemala | 6.00 | 1.10 | 3.60 | 3.00 | |
| 3 | Glamorous Star | 15.00 | 10.00 | 7.60 |
$1.00 Exacta (6-7) Pays $11.80
$0.50 Trifecta (6-7-3) Pays $49.05
$0.10 Superfecta (6-7-3-1) Pays $39.55
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.
