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Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Monday, February 20, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
8 Trumpence 1.80 1.00 3.20 2.10 2.10
1 Stormin Hongkong 3.00 3.44 2.40 2.20
4 Released 12.00 4.38 3.00

$1.00 Exacta (8-1) Pays $2.90
$0.50 Trifecta (8-1-4) Pays $6.75
$0.10 Superfecta (8-1-4-6) Pays $3.52


RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
4 Hail Columbia 2.00 1.00 3.60 2.80 2.40
7 Vegas Blue 6.00 5.85 6.00 3.60
3 Star Pose 3.00 4.64 3.20

$1.00 Exacta (4-7) Pays $10.70
$0.50 Trifecta (4-7-3) Pays $16.95
$0.10 Superfecta (4-7-3-2) Pays $24.09


RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
6 Colonel Bowman 2.50 1.00 12.00 5.80 3.80
5 Chapel Barn 10.00 8.00 20.20 7.40
1 Sidetown 4.00 6.67 3.40

$1.00 Exacta (6-5) Pays $112.40
$0.50 Trifecta (6-5-1) Pays $308.05
$0.10 Superfecta (6-5-1-4) Pays $415.17


RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
1 Arthurian 3.50 4.29 9.40 4.80 3.40
5 Drena’s Star 4.00 1.01 5.60 3.80
8 Grapnel 8.00 4.27 5.80

$1.00 Exacta (1-5) Pays $19.20
$0.50 Trifecta (1-5-8) Pays $80.35
$0.10 Superfecta (1-5-8-3) Pays $80.34


RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
3 Bet He’s Ready 3.00 1.54 4.00 3.00 2.40
5 Life On the Nile 2.50 1.00 3.00 2.40
6 Cyclone 6.00 2.48 2.60

$1.00 Exacta (3-5) Pays $5.50
$0.50 Trifecta (3-5-6) Pays $7.20
$0.10 Superfecta (3-5-6-10) Pays $5.38


RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
10 Lapis Lazuli 2.00 1.68 4.60 2.80 2.20
4 Lord Grantham 6.00 1.50 4.80 3.00
8 Immoral 3.00 5.33 3.00

$1.00 Exacta (10-4) Pays $8.00
$0.50 Trifecta (10-4-8) Pays $13.70
$0.10 Superfecta (10-4-8-1) Pays $5.86


RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
7 Disc Jockey 3.00 1.00 4.60 3.00 2.60
1 Hellorhighwater 3.50 5.31 4.80 3.60
6 Fifty Cent Dollars 8.00 3.89 3.40

$1.00 Exacta (7-1) Pays $9.20
$0.50 Trifecta (7-1-6) Pays $23.05
$0.10 Superfecta (7-1-6-2) Pays $8.39


RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
7 Run Fearless 15.00 6.76 44.80 11.00 6.00
4 One Way Or Another 1.60 1.00 3.20 2.80
9 Choctaw Charlie 6.00 10.00 6.80

$1.00 Exacta (7-4) Pays $59.70
$0.50 Trifecta (7-4-9) Pays $340.55
$0.10 Superfecta (7-4-9-3) Pays $142.39


RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
3 Still On the Books 1.80 1.00 4.00 3.00 2.40
1 Impoverished 5.00 3.45 10.20 6.40
6 Aux Arcs 4.00 4.77 3.60

$1.00 Exacta (3-1) Pays $19.70
$0.50 Trifecta (3-1-6) Pays $57.45
$0.10 Superfecta (3-1-6-12) Pays $103.00


Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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