Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Itellyouthefacts | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Heavy Son | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Juju Nineteen | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Three Ks | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Arctic Rose | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Argybargy Buck | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Band Boss | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hope for Change | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Production | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Golden Palace | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Why Joey Why | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Nosy Banker | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Priority | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mister Don | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Quest for Avette | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bitsy’s Custom C | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pat Me Down | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Summer Splash | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blue Jays | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Co Conspirator | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Bariley | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Super Wise | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gimme Some Mo | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Like Mike | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Izzy’s Baby Boy | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | War Count | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Everlovinghand | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Payday Too | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Guitar Tribute | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | And Fifty | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Steal It Back | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 7 | Irish Hokie | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Populist | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Gormleys Got Game | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Carbon Stryker | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 5 | Classic King | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1A | 4 | Channel Won | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 8 | High Tone | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Glenn’s Jumper | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Morning Cup | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Unified Dreams | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Master Game | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Schmoozin | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pacificislandtime | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Keepcalmcarryon | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Constitutional Law | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Harold’s Cloud | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Flint Ridge | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Zippin Gigi | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Twirling Roses | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Prado’s Priority | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spartan Army | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wise Anchor | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Russian Tank | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Mardi Gras S.) – Mardi Gras S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Astute | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Oeuvre | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Hazy Command | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Cheetara (CHI) | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Lastchanceforlove | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Mercy Warren | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Goin’ Good | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sweet Temperament | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Salvaje | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Charlie T | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Perfect Happiness | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Minute Waltz | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Aboukir Bay | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miner’s Queen | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | New Boss | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Broke Financing | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Astrologysprotege | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Chipeee | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Theos Flew | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chelsea’s Glory | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Runaway Jim | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Half Crazy | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Munnings Catsle | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Chad’s Flash | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hard Kings | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Friend’s Do Care | 15.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cajun Carlos | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.