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Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Friday, February 24, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 She’s Mo Bubbly 1.60 1 2-1
2 2 Sourcing Network 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 Wings Like Eagles 2.50 1.2 2-1
3 3 Charging Lady 4.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Dolce Sera 20.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Gracefulness 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 La Conquistadora 3.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 The Splendid One 3.50 2.4 5-1
2 2 Lavon 4.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Snowy Evening 5.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Pinstripepizzo 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Let Her Inspire U 1.40 1 2-1
1 1 Leeloo 1.80 1.2 2-1
2 2 Unsolved Mystery 3.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 Impazible Donna 4.00 2 4-1
5 5 Mon Petit Chou 12.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Brisky Frolic 0.80 1 2-1
6 6 Freudian 2.50 1.6 3-1
1 1 Write This Down 4.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Sweet Sensation 8.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Predetermined 15.00 6 11-1
3 3 Midmon 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 5 Excess Demand 2.50 1 2-1
5 6 Nieuwendyk 3.00 1.2 2-1
1A 4 Arrebato 4.00 1.6 3-1
1 2 Sway’sinmydna 4.00 1.6 3-1
6 7 Cloud Music 4.00 1.6 3-1
2 1 Ghoststryder 4.50 1.8 3-1
7 8 Sixwillberich 8.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Bounty Killah 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Launch Control 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Electric Stuff 2.50 1.2 2-1
3 3 Chalky Cat 3.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Ormstown 6.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Nineteen Oysters 8.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Mudville Nine 10.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Makar 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Save Grace 1.60 1 2-1
1 3 Sa Foradada 2.50 1.6 3-1
1A 6 Ughrouda 2.50 1.6 3-1
3 2 Dancing Sophia 3.50 2.4 4-1
5 5 Vodkatini 4.50 3.1 6-1
4 4 Just a Nyquist 8.00 5.6 11-1
6 7 Seahorse d’Oro 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Spiked 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Glowsity 3.50 1.1 2-1
2 2 Dame Cinco 6.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Suspended Campaign 6.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Pharoah’s Heart 8.00 2.2 4-1
11 11 Liam’s Kiss 8.00 2.2 4-1
12 12 Toned Up 10.00 2.6 5-1
10 10 Baby Man 10.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Vegas Weekend 30.00 7.3 14-1
9 9 Champagne Poetry 30.00 7.3 14-1
7 7 Into Happiness 30.00 7.3 14-1
8 8 Kingdom Queen 50.00 12 23-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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