Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Gurkha Gold (IRE) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Honorary Guest | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pi Yo Princess | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Churchill | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Caviar Resolution | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Texas Tidelands | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Our Heatseeker | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trader Price | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Run On Aces | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Iron N Steel | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Renati | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Go Brother Go | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Double On the Red | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Motown Missile | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mount Kenya | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | King Tuff | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Izeondec | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Seeking Splendor | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Major Deal | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Masquerade Ball | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Action Seeker | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fastnfurious | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | G’s Law | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rammer Jammer | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Let’s Go Random | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cat Five | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Unaffiliated | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | He Is Worthy | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Anders Smile | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Boston Blitz | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cajun Connection | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Peso Pesado | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Syvestar | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Iron Moon | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Harpes Hill | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Valid Early | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| Anders Smile | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Clear as a Bele | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lordy Lordy | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Geaux Sugar | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Copter | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Calicoco | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blindedbythegees | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hoosier | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sono | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Single Shot | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bouldering | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Northernreflection | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Oneforvivi | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Perrins | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Duvee | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Moment of Stardom | 2.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ole Stud Muffin | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Scoring Drive | 4.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Western Star | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Miss Distinctive | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Duxonthepond | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jazla | 2.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Happy Sails | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ryan’s Grace | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bet On Bourbon | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stop Shop N Drop | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Swirling Wine | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Allstar Magic | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.