Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Who Me | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Four Eyes | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | American Grant | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Eternal Glory | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chasin’ You | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Petrolo | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wonker Warrior | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | My Man Matty | 0.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lohengrin Two | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Uno | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Breaking Stones | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chief Engineer | 15.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Basis Risk | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Clash A. J. | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Gander S.) – Gander S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Maker’s Candy | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Neural Network | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | D’ont Lose Cruz | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Starquist | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dr. Kraft | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Lastchanceatglory | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hammerin Aamer | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Prince of Pharoahs | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gentleman Joe | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Royal Tryst | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lost in Rome | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | It’s Mandatory | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Grannys Connection | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Royal Currency | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fancy Feline | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jet Set Juliet | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Forty Smooth | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bern Rosey Bern | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Steal My Heart | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Dust Devil | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lil Commissioner | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Runabout | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mount Travers | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Midnightcharly | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Caribbean (AUS) | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Doin’ittherightway | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Air Show | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Kant Hurry Love | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kitten’s Appeal | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Captainsdaughter | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Yo Cuz | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Baba | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I’m Buzzy | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Milagro | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Awillaway | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Chasing Cara | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stymie S.) – Stymie S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Repo Rocks | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miles D | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bourbonic | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Far Mo Power | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Black Belt | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tough Tickets | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Old Point | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dads Good Runner | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Threethirtythree | 6.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Downtown Connector | 6.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bold Honor | 6.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Run Smitty Run | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | My Boy Colton | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Equalizer | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Golden Purchase | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Grand Again | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.