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Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, February 25, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
4 Midnight Fire 8.00 1.00 9.60 5.20 3.00
5 Scrappy Artie 4.00 6.29 10.40 3.80
2 Impressed 2.50 6.97 2.10

$1.00 Exacta (4-5) Pays $49.70
$0.50 Trifecta (4-5-2) Pays $50.65
$0.10 Superfecta (4-5-2-6) Pays $99.49


RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
5 My Man Louie 3.50 3.58 3.00 2.20 2.20
6 Wonder Run 4.00 1.31 5.80 3.60
7 I’ll Raise You 6.00 3.78 6.00

$1.00 Exacta (5-6) Pays $11.30
$0.50 Trifecta (5-6-7) Pays $31.85
$0.10 Superfecta (5-6-7-4) Pays $14.52


RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
7 Manly Deeds 3.00 1.00 4.80 2.60 2.10
6 Bleep Bleep 4.00 2.99 2.40 2.20
4 Reddingandlee 8.00 4.11 3.00

$1.00 Exacta (7-6) Pays $4.50
$0.50 Trifecta (7-6-4) Pays $6.15
$0.10 Superfecta (7-6-4-10) Pays $4.44


RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
5 Mr. B Cause 2.50 1.00 6.20 4.20 2.80
1 Oxxon 6.00 2.65 6.40 4.40
10 Indefensible 10.00 4.58 8.00

$1.00 Exacta (5-1) Pays $22.50
$0.50 Trifecta (5-1-10) Pays $107.75
$0.10 Superfecta (5-1-10-8) Pays $121.05


RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
3 Mr. Wimbledon Bay 2.50 1.00 4.20 2.80 2.80
5 Clever Prince 5.00 5.11 7.80 5.60
7 Proudtown 6.00 4.58 5.00

$1.00 Exacta (3-5) Pays $19.30
$0.50 Trifecta (3-5-7) Pays $62.40
$0.10 Superfecta (3-5-7-4) Pays $39.30


RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
2 Moment 2.00 1.00 2.20 2.10 2.10
3 Poseidon Wrath 12.00 4.65 10.00 4.80
6 Flashing Angelbaby 3.50 3.50 3.40

$1.00 Exacta (2-3) Pays $9.10
$0.50 Trifecta (2-3-6) Pays $19.00
$0.10 Superfecta (2-3-6-1) Pays $39.23


RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
2 Scarlettsblackjack 15.00 1.76 22.00 11.40 8.20
5 Pinch Assault 8.00 3.76 6.60 3.80
9 Sammy Danseur Jr. 6.00 3.47 3.80

$1.00 Exacta (2-5) Pays $60.00
$0.50 Trifecta (2-5-9) Pays $117.60
$0.10 Superfecta (2-5-9-10) Pays $104.77


RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
9 Pipes and Drums 4.50 2.53 6.40 3.20 2.60
5 Strong Eagle 8.00 2.13 3.80 3.00
10 Jimi’s a Star 12.00 4.63 10.40

$1.00 Exacta (9-5) Pays $12.50
$0.50 Trifecta (9-5-10) Pays $58.70
$0.10 Superfecta (9-5-10-8) Pays $57.52


RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
1 Silver Chalice 4.00 1.10 10.20 6.20 4.20
9 Styling Hook 6.00 3.66 15.60 8.80
6 Bad Decisions 8.00 2.94 4.60

$1.00 Exacta (1-9) Pays $71.30
$0.50 Trifecta (1-9-6) Pays $153.85
$0.10 Superfecta (1-9-6-10) Pays $333.93


Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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