Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Daphne’s Fire | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sense of Heart | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Unbridled Annsley | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | De’ Ans Eighty | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Keep Left | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Puttin’ Presley | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Puabis Gold | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Baby Your Perfect | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Permafrost | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Briartown | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Alilnalot | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | De Saix | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Green Beans | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mo Moves | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Dual Monarchy | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Oddsontony | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Deccan Prince (IRE) | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Joint Venture | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sir | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sir Liam | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Midnight Pranks | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sam Stormy | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kid Ketchum | 3.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | More Than Five | 4.50 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Toddchero | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Distorted Pro | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Invulnerable | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Natural Harbor | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gilcrease | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | F J’s Flaco | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Louisiana Broodmare Of The Year Buttercup’s Song S.) – Louisiana Broodmare Of The Year Buttercup’s Song S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Free Drop Maddy | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | For Harper | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Guitar Woman | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Olivia G | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | She Told You So | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | New Destiny | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Agami | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hopeitsmyluckyday | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ice Time | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Silver Bull | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Minnesota Moon | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Desert Duke | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | He’s Got Swagger | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Two Rivers Over | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Scat Danz | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Classic Dancer | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Texas Adopter | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Louisiana Stallion Of The Year Half Ours S.) – Louisiana Stallion Of The Year Half Ours S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Jack Hammer | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Allnight Moonlight | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Benoit | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Real Action | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gobot | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stiff Drink | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mangum | 4.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | My Lil Dude | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Titled Lady | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flamand | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Varmlander | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shoplifter | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Just Like Magic | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Topsy | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Neutralize | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Taylors Tap | 6.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | She’s Jersey Tuff | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Brigadier General | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Crump | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cousin Larry | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Setna the Wise | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Trigger Happy | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Guntown | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jeeper | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bright Spark | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ricky Bobby | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.