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Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, April 22, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Pimenova 2.00 1 2-1
16 16 Strange Fruit 4.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Spoils of War 4.50 1.8 3-1
6 6 Nuance 6.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Dance With Me Babe 6.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Spooky Lady 8.00 2.9 5-1
15 15 Follow the Fed 8.00 2.9 5-1
11 11 Mary Katherine 12.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Pauciloquent 12.00 4.1 8-1
12 12 Maddie’s Grace 15.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 April First 15.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 War Museum 20.00 6.6 13-1
13 13 My Gorgeous 30.00 9.8 18-1
14 14 Virtual Beauty 50.00 16 30-1
8 8 Bandulu Queen 50.00 16 30-1
10 10 Reign of Thunder 50.00 16 30-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 First Money 1.40 1 2-1
1A 4 Kaon 1.40 1 2-1
3 3 Balantyne 3.50 2.4 5-1
7 8 Ride Up 4.50 3.1 6-1
4 5 Shreveport 5.00 3.4 6-1
5 6 Pioneering Spirit 8.00 5.4 10-1
6 7 Corton Charlemagne 10.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Huntington 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Woodhaven S.) – Woodhaven S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Belouni (FR) 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 Inflation Nation (IRE) 2.00 1.1 2-1
6 6 Neural Network 2.50 1.2 2-1
2 2 Winters Lion 6.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Regal Kingdom 8.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 High Strike 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Im Just Kiddin 3.50 1 2-1
11 11 Lisa’s Vision 4.50 1.5 3-1
12 12 Royal Dancer 5.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Tis a Pity 6.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Three Unions 8.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 U Should B Dancing 10.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Fleetfooted 10.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Saratoga Gaze 12.00 5.2 10-1
13 13 Bustin Bullet 12.00 5.2 10-1
10 10 Sikum 15.00 6.6 13-1
1 1 Masterof the Tunes 15.00 6.6 13-1
14 14 Lita 20.00 9.1 17-1
7 7 Bern Rosey Bern 30.00 14 26-1
3 3 Harlan’s Bond 30.00 14 26-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Agility 2.00 1 2-1
8 8 Lohengrin Two 3.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Two for Charging 3.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Braciole 4.50 2 4-1
5 5 Central Pride 10.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Dee Bo 12.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Juggler 20.00 8 15-1
1 1 Clash A. J. 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 14 Silent Running 3.50 1 2-1
9 9 Myles 4.00 1.3 2-1
16 16 Barry the Builder 4.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Addicted to You 4.50 1.6 3-1
10 10 October Bliss 5.00 1.9 3-1
5 5 Over the Cap 6.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 No Regard 6.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Aula 8.00 3.6 7-1
11 11 Maythisbetheone 10.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Volcker Rules 12.00 5.8 11-1
13 13 Fast Study 15.00 7.5 14-1
3 3 Forward Cast 20.00 10.3 20-1
2 2 Metamorphoses 20.00 10.3 20-1
15 15 Eternal Glory 20.00 10.3 20-1
12 12 Campbelito 30.00 16 30-1
8 8 In My Shadow 30.00 16 30-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 More Than Work 1.40 1 2-1
3 3 Splendid Summer 3.50 1.8 3-1
12 12 Empire Ride 5.00 2.4 4-1
8 8 Born a Gambler 8.00 3.5 7-1
11 11 Legendary Lore 8.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Mo Rewards 8.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Mauritius 12.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Fire King 15.00 6.2 12-1
10 10 North Pole 20.00 8.2 15-1
4 4 Toga Dancer 20.00 8.2 15-1
7 7 Strong Light 30.00 12 23-1
2 2 He’sgottashortfuse 30.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (New York Stallion S.) – New York Stallion S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Lifetime of Chance 1.80 1 2-1
4 4 General Banker 2.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 East Coast Girl 4.50 2.4 5-1
2 2 Kerness 8.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Dr. Kraft 10.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Ten Cent Town 12.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Bank Frenzy 15.00 8 15-1
8 8 Coach Pitino 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Asset Purchase 1.40 1 2-1
1 1 Sterling Silver 2.00 1.2 2-1
8 8 Cupids Girl 6.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 To a T 8.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Mashnee Girl 12.00 4 8-1
7 7 Chasing Cara 15.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Awillaway 20.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Champagne Poetry 20.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Argentina Girl 30.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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