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Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, April 23, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Not Negotiable 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Popnfizz 0.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Attabe 0.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Neolithic Nation 0.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Janis Joplin 0.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Gamble’s Orb 0.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Boss Holiday 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Lake Shore Drive 0.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Forest Buzz 0.00 3 6-1
5 5 Highly Flammable 0.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Bet N Win 0.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Might Bee Speedy 0.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Sterling Speed 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Kid Forester 0.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Big Warden 0.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Chancel 0.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Light the Lamp 0.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 One Punch Charlie 0.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Alacritous 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Master Spy 0.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Mr. Dazzle 0.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Stormy Soul 0.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Chairman Bob 0.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Wenjack 0.00 2.4 5-1
8 8 Western Trouble 0.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Bahamian Dude 0.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Feelthebeat 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Maakwa 0.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Particular 0.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Napa Spirit (IRE) 0.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Aim for the Sky 0.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Seventyseven Stone 0.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 Jack Beanstalk 0.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Maclean’s Posse 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Ready for a Fight 0.00 1.2 2-1
8 8 Warp Ride 0.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 There’s No Joe 0.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Kawacatoose 0.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Clear Destination 0.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Commander Joe 0.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Ghostliner 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Halfinthewrapper 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Storming Lady 0.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Aubrieta 0.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Trading Bay 0.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Owen’s Tour Guide 0.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Forest Drift 0.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Stylish Gent 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Prince Sussex 0.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Exceed 0.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Big Investment 0.00 3 6-1
8 8 Orphan Hallie 0.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Artie’s All In 0.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Two Year Contract 0.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Jamiesta 0.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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