Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Balentina | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dolce Sera | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nobleandgreenough | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Herecomes Scarlett | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Graceful | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mooney Mooney | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Germany Jayvo | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Moonage Daydream | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Derrynane | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Backed by Gold | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Road to Remember | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Diva Banker | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Patria | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shinfull | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tempermental | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Starship Laoban | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| Road to Remember | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Maggie T | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Luna Loca | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blowthruyelowlites | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dreamawayseven | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Aeron Warrior | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Attached | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Perfect Senorita | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Smokin’ Hot Kitty | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Snow Loves a Fight | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bonana Fanna Foe | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Anileate | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Always Laughing | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rosemary Potatoes | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cross Island | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Heartburn | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ricelle | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Crystal Orb | 50.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Doin’ittherightway | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | No More Talk | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 11 | Perceived | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 7 | Jumpster | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2B | 8 | Dontbelate | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 9 | Musical Heart | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 10 | Vintage Hollywood | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Cool Quartet | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bourbon Bay | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1A | 4 | Icy Storm | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Royal Realm | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 11 | Icy Reply | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Cadencia | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 10 | Carbon | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 5 | Stella Mars | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 8 | La Aguililla | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Bustin Bullet | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 7 | No Payne | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 3 | True Empress | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 4 | Devilly | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Freddymo Factor | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 1A | 2 | Game Theory | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Nova Rags | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dot’s Dollar | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Swot Analysis | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Saint Selby | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Engine | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cees Get Degrees | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | River Dog | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | No Sabe Nada | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Drink the Wind | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 10 | Doctor Love | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 3 | Catching Cupid | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1A | 7 | Super Quality | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Major Spin | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Top of the Mint | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | El Mayor | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Holey Matrimony | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Prince of Joy | 15.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 2 | R Boy Cheekum | 50.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.