Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Friday, April 28, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Jp Icy Boss 1.80 1 2-1
6 6 Ms Apolitical Ivory 4.50 1.7 3-1
3 3 Moonin Princess 8.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Tk B Zoomin 6.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Apolitical Queen 5.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Double Tac Flash 12.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Shez Leavin Magic 15.00 7.7 15-1
9 9 Lady Eyem Deluxe 15.00 8.2 15-1
10 10 Pilotowillshinenher 20.00 9 17-1
4 4 Leavin Louisiana 12.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Bo Up 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Rh Sweet Bikini 4.50 2.9 5-1
1 1 M Cr Pilotos 12.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Pops Zoomin Toole Sm 10.00 4.5 9-1
9 9 Kaioken Cartel 6.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Angel Prize 8.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Ttt Jess Ivan 10.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Gias Molly Dollar 8.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Just Plain Deadly 3.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Jess Siete Cartel 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Polita Chick 15.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Political Train 6.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Blood N Coronas 8.00 3.1 6-1
10 10 Shezainabar 10.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Dlj Pilotos Girl 15.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Lynns Sweet Blood 5.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Political Anywhere 8.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Ho Lotta Emotion 12.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Apollitical Delight 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Open Me A Corona S.) – Open Me A Corona S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Five Bar Jess Cartel 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Rdd Empire Builder 5.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Lrh Heart of Glass 10.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Rf Fast Dash N Jess 4.00 5 9-1
8 8 Splishsplash Piloto 10.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Dianetoseparatefromu 5.00 5.6 10-1
6 6 Tm Dee First Bar 8.00 7.7 15-1
10 10 Attitudes Runnaway 12.00 8.3 16-1
3 3 One Fast Perry 15.00 8.5 16-1
4 4 Jjs Lace 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Trials) – Trials

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Feature Five Bar 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Return My Corona 4.50 1.4 3-1
8 8 Royal Jet Knockout 6.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Pappacito 2.50 4 8-1
7 7 Snow Cloud Cartel 6.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Im First in Firstout 10.00 6.1 11-1
6 6 Good Racy Eyes 15.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 Sheza Famous Babe 12.00 8.5 16-1
5 5 Jess Fast Blue 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Trials) – Trials

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Unome Valentine 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 This Train Flies 2.50 2.3 4-1
3 3 Mr Carter 4.50 3.4 7-1
4 4 Lil Freighttrain 6.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Energy Paint 12.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Jj Jess a Shadow 8.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 A Secret to Catch 8.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Mr Perrys Signature 15.00 8.9 17-1
6 6 Truenno 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Trials) – Trials

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Pk Pure Rogue 3.00 1 2-1
9 9 One Sweet Amelia 6.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Tempting Fortune 10.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 San Lorenzo Train 4.50 6 11-1
4 4 Wuhan Madness 10.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 One Fine Beast 10.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 Favorite Racie 15.00 7.8 15-1
3 3 Jp General 2.50 7.9 15-1
5 5 At Ease 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Trials) – Trials

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Spumante 4.00 1 2-1
9 9 Big Daddys Blue Eyes 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Jj Freight Star 2.50 3.8 7-1
6 6 Hez Pretty Fast 3.50 4.4 8-1
5 5 Freighttrainacumin 10.00 6.1 11-1
4 4 Coronas Margarita 6.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Hidden Charms 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Moon Diamond 12.00 7.9 15-1
7 7 Spicy Sawyer 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Delta Dash S.) – Delta Dash S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Mp Dont Look 5.00 1 2-1
1 1 San Lorenzo Dash 1.80 2.4 5-1
6 6 Jeg Fascination 10.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Toast to Blue 5.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Swags 12.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Red Faced Rogue 6.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Lady Genevieve 20.00 8.4 16-1
10 10 Cwfasttrack 20.00 8.6 16-1
3 3 Lett It Happen 20.00 9.4 18-1
2 2 Mp Dancing Star 6.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.