Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Cee Minus | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 8 | Lexington Diamond | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 2 | I Got a Name | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Tiz Sweet Candy | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 7 | Miss Arkansas | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Mrs. Macomber | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 6 | Elmo’s Secret | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1A | 10 | Nelly Larkin | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Naughty Madam | 12.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 9 | Momma Mule | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Distorted Secrets | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gp’s Amazing Grace | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Emerald Princess | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Kewpie Doll | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Crystal Crescent | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dorita’s Heart | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Burnadebt | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Bonus | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Careless Heiress | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Empire Pass | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sisaway Now | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Blow Torch | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Title Shot | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Yacht Rock (IRE) | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Drifter | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wesleyan | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Atras | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mark the Moose | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Saint Pio | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lapis Lazuli | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Acehigh Royal | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rotary Dial | 30.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Grapnel | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Matts Fire N Ice | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | St Andrews | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Back Beat | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Citrus Bay | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Stellar Tap | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | American Xperiment | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Runninthestreets | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Delta Moon | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Magnolia Mae | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kokomo Starlet | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Grandma Belle | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Iconic Bonnet | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cashmere Baby | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Zongs Irish Frost | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Be My Huckleberry | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Girl in Red | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Bonnie Lass | 15.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shutup Please | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Dark Afternoon | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cactus | 2.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bolt Above | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Missin Curfew | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dixie Fury | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Commerce Comet | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Runtoday | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Juilliard | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Kiss Principal | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Cole Spur | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mystifier | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Rounder | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Backgate Red | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Seaside Boy | 4.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Little Frappucino | 2.50 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Out of Alcatraz | 15.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Point Blank | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Risky Situation | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Liars Club | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Skyline | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Tequila Revolution | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Squillions | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jubella | 1.60 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Medley | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | I Feel the Need | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Judy’s Way | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Commander | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Shezz Koldazice | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Marina’s Gold | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Simona’s Choice | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Big Bad Diva | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Let’s Duet | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Doctor Oscar | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Go West | 1.60 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Full Authority | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ruggs | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Deflater | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | League of Legends | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Tailorbeswift | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blow Sum Smoke | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Tiger Bait | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Astrid | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tapit Right | 3.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Dams Atitude | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Flowersforshantell | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Five Queens | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mary Alice | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hissy Missy | 5.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Warm Beauty | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Twentytwentyredo | 15.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Little Rocker | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.