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Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Monday, May 1, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Seiver 1.80 1 2-1
3 3 The Furmanator 6.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Fancy Scepter 6.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Heart Light 6.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Milwaukee Bay 6.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Island Belle 4.50 4.9 9-1
5 5 Louella Street 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Jackie’s Pride 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Must Be Love 3.50 1.7 3-1
2 2 In Spades 4.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Late to the Show 4.50 3 6-1
4 4 Coffee With Alex 5.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Et’s Toy Soldier 5.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Destin’s Mission 6.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Minxzhippsdontleye 6.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Tempted to Touch 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Jump a Fox 2.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Elevenmonthslater 5.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Tempest Rising 4.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Charlize Chub 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 End of the Rainbow 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Fuego Sos 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Heavy Timber 3.50 1.2 2-1
7 7 Factor U and Me In 5.00 2 4-1
2 2 Incitatusway 4.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Amirati 4.50 2.2 4-1
4 4 Rebel Invasion 5.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Socially Awkward 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Shez a Doubletake 8.00 1 2-1
6 6 Without a View 4.50 2.1 4-1
4 4 Rolin N Controlin 3.50 2.4 5-1
3 3 Another Saucy Six 5.00 3 6-1
5 5 Scarf 4.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Bella Maria 8.00 4 8-1
7 7 Frieder Fanatic 15.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Advocate Harbor 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Moving in Stereo 1.60 1 2-1
2 2 Purrfect Mistress 2.50 2 4-1
1 1 Pearlbdancing 12.00 2.4 4-1
6 6 Risen Change 6.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Miss Alex 12.00 5 9-1
4 4 Crazy Serena 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Marvelousmoondance 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Beyond Best 4.50 1.9 3-1
6 6 Dudley Dickerson 2.50 2.1 4-1
4 4 Supreme Being 6.00 3 6-1
5 5 Big Popper 10.00 SCRATCH
3 3 One Bite 5.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Modern Era 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Bullet Butch 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Meet the Elite 6.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Ruffy 3.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 Ouch Ouch Ouch 10.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Louie’s Law 12.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Yo Nessroundonkern 8.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Beachwalker 3.50 5.8 11-1
4 4 Jay’stalker 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Speightful Miss 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 She Speaks 6.00 1.3 3-1
8 8 Mii Amo 3.50 1.5 3-1
6 6 Kristinachrysalis 4.50 1.8 3-1
1 1 Troubled Dreams 6.00 2 4-1
5 5 Living Magic 6.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Maci’s World 6.00 3 6-1
4 4 One Eyed Jackie 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Baby Gundin 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Nurturing 4.00 1.1 2-1
7 7 Anna Rocks 5.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Big Cheeks 2.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Madame Rouge 12.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Far Heart 12.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Like a Pro 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 R Goodtime Charlie 6.00 1 2-1
10 10 Positively Awesome 5.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Dizzy Gillespie 4.50 3.5 7-1
1 1 King’s House 6.00 4 8-1
2 2 Tactical Plan 4.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Pointer 10.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Youshouldbesolucky 15.00 6.6 12-1
9 9 Melina’s Dream 20.00 7.3 14-1
7 7 Johnny Obvious 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 I Love Jaxson 3.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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